United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2009 through results of 2010 JANUARY 7 THURSDAY (BCS Championship Game)
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is unbiased now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 245 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO-CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is now unbiased.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Alabama A = 100.25 14 0 77.28( 2) 3 0 | 7 0 | 103.11 1 | 97.87 1 2 Florida A = 95.75 13 1 75.39( 15) 1 1 | 4 1 | 96.44 2 | 94.68 2 3 Texas A = 92.39 13 1 73.09( 38) 0 1 | 3 1 | 91.81 4 | 92.51 4 4 TCU A = 90.16 12 1 70.59( 60) 0 1 | 3 1 | 90.29 6 | 89.56 6 5 Boise State A = 89.35 14 0 64.97( 96) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.89 3 | 85.57 11 6 Ohio State A = 88.35 11 2 72.05( 50) 2 0 | 4 1 | 87.22 8 | 89.08 7 7 Virginia Tech A = 87.69 10 3 75.77( 13) 0 1 | 2 2 | 84.03 13 | 92.71 3 8 Cincinnati A = 86.84 12 1 72.51( 44) 0 1 | 2 1 | 90.57 5 | 83.74 15 9 Iowa A = 85.82 11 2 72.64( 41) 1 1 | 3 1 | 88.17 7 | 83.50 17 10 Penn State A = 85.43 11 2 69.21( 73) 0 2 | 1 2 | 84.79 10 | 85.60 10 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Oregon A = 85.27 10 3 76.29( 6) 0 2 | 2 3 | 84.35 11 | 85.77 9 12 Georgia Tech A = 84.60 11 3 76.17( 10) 1 1 | 3 3 | 84.27 12 | 84.45 12 13 LSU A = 84.22 9 4 76.64( 5) 0 3 | 3 4 | 83.74 14 | 84.21 13 14 Nebraska A = 84.06 10 4 71.83( 52) 0 2 | 1 3 | 80.01 25 | 89.64 5 15 BYU A = 83.60 11 2 70.34( 61) 0 1 | 2 1 | 84.94 9 | 81.97 23 16 Pittsburgh A = 83.50 10 3 72.90( 40) 0 1 | 1 1 | 82.81 16 | 83.73 16 17 Oklahoma A = 83.15 8 5 74.59( 22) 0 1 | 1 5 | 79.13 29 | 88.52 8 18 Arkansas A = 82.49 8 5 75.93( 12) 0 2 | 1 5 | 81.60 19 | 82.93 19 19 Mississippi A = 82.38 9 4 72.47( 46) 0 1 | 2 2 | 81.63 18 | 82.68 20 20 Southern California A = 81.95 9 4 74.96( 19) 1 0 | 1 2 | 81.04 20 | 82.41 22 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 21 Miami-Florida A = 81.72 9 4 76.18( 8) 0 1 | 2 3 | 80.42 21 | 82.63 21 22 Clemson A = 81.54 9 5 74.42( 24) 0 1 | 1 3 | 79.19 28 | 83.83 14 23 Wisconsin A = 81.21 10 3 70.18( 64) 0 2 | 1 2 | 81.97 17 | 80.04 25 24 Utah A = 80.59 10 3 69.06( 75) 0 1 | 0 3 | 82.95 15 | 78.18 32 25 Texas Tech A = 80.25 9 4 70.25( 62) 0 1 | 2 1 | 77.53 36 | 83.05 18 26 Georgia A = 80.08 8 5 76.22( 7) 0 1 | 3 2 | 80.32 24 | 79.38 29 27 Auburn A = 79.43 8 5 75.22( 17) 0 1 | 1 4 | 80.38 22 | 78.09 33 28 Connecticut A = 79.42 8 5 73.45( 34) 0 1 | 0 2 | 78.76 30 | 79.61 28 29 Stanford A = 78.89 8 5 73.85( 29) 0 0 | 2 1 | 76.19 43 | 81.61 24 30 Villanova AA = 78.74 14 1 60.49( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 80.36 23 | 76.84 38 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 31 Florida State A = 78.56 7 6 77.11( 3) 0 1 | 1 4 | 79.20 27 | 77.48 35 32 West Virginia A = 78.55 9 4 73.71( 31) 0 1 | 2 2 | 79.81 26 | 76.95 37 33 North Carolina A = 78.47 8 5 73.66( 32) 1 0 | 3 2 | 77.22 38 | 79.31 30 34 Oregon State A = 78.35 8 5 74.56( 23) 0 1 | 1 4 | 78.63 31 | 77.61 34 35 Air Force A = 78.21 8 5 68.39( 79) 0 1 | 0 3 | 76.37 42 | 79.76 26 36 Tennessee A = 77.96 7 6 74.80( 21) 0 3 | 1 5 | 76.03 44 | 79.62 27 37 Arizona A = 77.64 8 5 76.16( 11) 0 1 | 2 3 | 78.59 32 | 76.29 42 38 Navy A = 77.51 10 4 68.19( 82) 0 1 | 0 2 | 77.14 40 | 77.41 36 39 South Florida A = 77.28 8 5 70.83( 59) 0 1 | 0 4 | 77.53 37 | 76.57 40 40 Oklahoma State A = 77.28 9 4 72.25( 49) 0 1 | 2 3 | 78.07 33 | 76.07 43 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 41 Rutgers A = 76.98 9 4 67.65( 83) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.64 35 | 75.88 45 42 Central Michigan A = 76.48 12 2 62.40( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.71 34 | 74.90 50 43 South Carolina A = 76.43 7 6 76.92( 4) 0 2 | 2 5 | 76.75 41 | 75.66 48 44 Boston College A = 76.14 8 5 72.52( 43) 0 1 | 0 3 | 75.15 47 | 76.68 39 45 Mississippi State A = 76.04 5 7 78.52( 1) 0 2 | 1 6 | 75.89 45 | 75.72 47 46 California A = 75.77 8 5 73.93( 27) 0 0 | 1 3 | 77.15 39 | 74.05 52 47 Kentucky A = 75.35 7 6 73.38( 35) 0 2 | 2 3 | 74.25 50 | 76.02 44 48 Notre Dame A = 75.31 6 6 73.17( 37) 0 0 | 0 4 | 72.36 58 | 78.29 31 49 William & Mary AA = 75.19 11 3 59.96( 126) 0 0 | 0 2 | 73.59 52 | 76.43 41 50 UCLA A = 75.03 7 6 73.78( 30) 0 0 | 0 3 | 75.42 46 | 74.19 51 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 East Carolina A = 74.52 9 5 69.90( 65) 0 1 | 0 2 | 75.00 48 | 73.58 54 52 Washington A = 74.34 5 7 75.46( 14) 0 0 | 1 3 | 73.27 55 | 74.97 49 53 Houston A = 73.54 10 4 66.83( 88) 0 0 | 1 0 | 73.29 54 | 73.32 56 54 Missouri A = 73.42 8 5 71.09( 58) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.35 53 | 73.01 57 55 Michigan State A = 73.28 6 7 72.37( 47) 0 2 | 0 4 | 70.67 66 | 75.75 46 56 Wake Forest A = 72.55 5 7 73.90( 28) 0 0 | 1 3 | 70.72 65 | 74.04 53 57 Montana AA = 71.73 14 1 55.78( 143) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.01 51 | 69.23 69 58 Texas A&M A = 71.72 6 7 72.48( 45) 0 1 | 1 4 | 70.78 64 | 72.19 58 59 Fresno State A = 71.39 8 5 67.49( 84) 0 2 | 0 3 | 72.37 57 | 69.99 63 60 Richmond AA = 71.25 11 2 58.64( 127) 0 0 | 0 1 | 71.36 63 | 70.66 62 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 61 Northwestern A = 70.95 8 5 68.34( 80) 1 1 | 2 2 | 72.70 56 | 68.87 72 62 Kansas A = 70.88 5 7 71.74( 53) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.08 82 | 73.52 55 63 Middle Tennessee A = 70.87 10 3 61.49( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.12 59 | 69.23 68 64 Minnesota A = 70.61 6 7 74.00( 26) 0 3 | 0 4 | 71.41 62 | 69.37 67 65 SMU A = 70.35 8 5 65.96( 92) 0 1 | 0 1 | 72.06 60 | 68.30 77 66 Iowa State A = 70.30 7 6 69.32( 71) 0 1 | 1 1 | 71.91 61 | 68.34 76 67 Arizona State A = 70.11 4 8 73.07( 39) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.11 81 | 71.77 59 68 Kansas State A = 69.79 6 6 69.73( 66) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.21 73 | 69.90 64 69 Troy A = 69.60 9 4 63.46( 103) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.88 68 | 68.85 73 70 Nevada A = 69.43 8 5 66.34( 89) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.82 69 | 68.57 75 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 71 Central Florida A = 69.34 8 5 66.29( 90) 0 1 | 0 2 | 70.41 67 | 67.85 80 72 Temple A = 69.24 9 4 62.21( 111) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.35 72 | 68.65 74 73 Virginia A = 69.01 3 9 76.18( 9) 0 2 | 0 5 | 66.63 86 | 71.10 60 74 NC State A = 68.85 5 7 71.86( 51) 0 1 | 1 2 | 69.04 75 | 68.19 79 75 Purdue A = 68.60 5 7 71.11( 57) 1 0 | 1 2 | 66.91 84 | 69.90 65 76 Appalachian State AA = 68.12 11 3 56.04( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.77 70 | 66.10 85 77 Southern Miss A = 68.07 7 6 65.25( 93) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.77 85 | 68.93 71 78 Duke A = 67.87 5 7 71.57( 54) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.92 83 | 67.34 82 79 Marshall A = 67.60 7 6 67.04( 86) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.03 76 | 65.77 88 80 Baylor A = 67.37 4 8 75.06( 18) 0 1 | 0 5 | 69.14 74 | 65.24 90 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 81 Michigan A = 67.18 5 7 69.24( 72) 0 3 | 0 4 | 64.49 93 | 69.59 66 82 Wyoming A = 67.09 7 6 71.17( 56) 0 2 | 0 4 | 74.54 49 | 60.66 111 83 Syracuse A = 67.05 4 8 73.21( 36) 0 2 | 0 4 | 68.59 77 | 65.11 91 84 New Hampshire AA = 66.42 10 3 54.05( 154) 0 0 | 1 1 | 68.45 79 | 64.04 97 85 Idaho A = 66.19 8 5 64.98( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.47 71 | 62.74 101 86 Southern Illinois AA = 66.19 11 2 51.94( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.25 94 | 67.73 81 87 Louisville A = 66.13 4 8 74.29( 25) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.46 78 | 63.49 98 88 Ohio University A = 66.13 9 5 62.74( 108) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.82 88 | 65.96 87 89 Louisiana Tech A = 66.12 4 8 69.17( 74) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.62 96 | 68.28 78 90 Elon AA = 66.10 9 3 53.02( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.90 98 | 69.09 70 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 91 Colorado A = 65.89 3 9 72.56( 42) 0 1 | 0 2 | 64.70 92 | 66.63 83 92 Bowling Green A = 65.35 7 6 64.82( 97) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.32 89 | 64.89 92 93 UNLV A = 64.91 5 7 69.35( 70) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.26 80 | 61.35 108 94 Illinois A = 64.37 3 9 72.30( 48) 0 3 | 0 3 | 62.99 97 | 65.30 89 95 Northern Illinois A = 64.33 7 6 60.93( 118) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.27 104 | 65.99 86 96 Tulsa A = 63.96 5 7 64.79( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 62.63 101 | 64.83 93 97 Maryland A = 63.83 2 10 73.51( 33) 0 1 | 1 1 | 62.82 100 | 64.37 96 98 Indiana A = 63.56 4 8 70.21( 63) 0 3 | 0 4 | 61.93 106 | 64.75 94 99 UAB A = 63.49 5 7 67.40( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.05 90 | 61.50 107 100 Utah State A = 63.33 4 8 68.95( 77) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.66 95 | 62.53 102 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 101 South Dakota State AA = 63.02 8 4 54.80( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.34 119 | 66.43 84 102 Northern Iowa AA = 62.53 7 4 51.07( 165) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.88 135 | 70.70 61 103 San Diego State A = 62.52 4 8 69.41( 69) 0 1 | 0 3 | 64.86 91 | 59.80 113 104 Vanderbilt A = 62.47 2 10 74.89( 20) 0 1 | 0 5 | 59.95 114 | 64.59 95 105 Hawaii A = 62.47 6 7 66.09( 91) 0 1 | 0 2 | 66.37 87 | 58.33 119 106 Colorado State A = 62.05 3 9 69.70( 67) 0 1 | 0 3 | 62.86 99 | 60.77 110 107 Buffalo A = 61.95 5 7 63.15( 106) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.16 111 | 63.29 99 108 James Madison AA = 61.78 6 5 60.48( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.85 109 | 62.23 104 109 Louisiana-Monroe A = 61.51 6 6 61.93( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.99 108 | 61.55 106 110 Eastern Washington AA = 61.32 8 4 56.84( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.43 103 | 59.76 114 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 111 Weber State AA = 60.89 7 5 57.35( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.96 105 | 59.36 117 112 Delaware AA = 60.65 6 5 61.14( 117) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.61 117 | 61.21 109 113 UTEP A = 59.94 4 8 63.82( 102) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.87 115 | 59.53 116 114 Florida Atlantic A = 59.26 5 7 63.36( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.01 113 | 58.03 121 115 SC State AA = 59.03 10 2 42.76( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.38 118 | 58.21 120 116 Pennsylvania AA = 58.68 8 2 46.28( 185) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.39 137 | 62.52 103 117 Jacksonville State AA = 58.31 8 3 45.51( 193) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.03 143 | 63.14 100 118 Stephen F. Austin AA = 58.12 10 3 50.83( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.62 102 | 53.15 141 119 Kent State A = 58.07 5 7 60.69( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.22 125 | 58.44 118 120 Montana State AA = 57.88 7 4 55.46( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.03 112 | 55.25 133 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 121 Massachusetts AA = 57.81 5 6 56.43( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.52 139 | 61.60 105 122 Toledo A = 57.77 5 7 63.04( 107) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.57 121 | 56.50 129 123 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 57.67 6 6 61.43( 116) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.73 116 | 55.12 134 124 Northern Arizona AA = 57.34 5 6 58.40( 129) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.51 122 | 56.68 125 125 Western Michigan A = 57.31 5 7 60.87( 119) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.59 130 | 57.56 123 126 Washington State A = 57.16 1 11 75.36( 16) 0 0 | 0 3 | 61.75 107 | 52.01 148 127 Liberty AA = 57.11 8 3 46.39( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.55 138 | 60.14 112 128 Furman AA = 56.75 6 5 56.19( 140) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.41 131 | 56.61 126 129 Arkansas State A = 56.44 4 8 61.89( 114) 0 1 | 0 2 | 52.65 147 | 59.68 115 130 Memphis A = 56.39 2 10 68.71( 78) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.64 129 | 55.66 132 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 McNeese State AA = 56.11 9 3 48.19( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.40 110 | 51.20 153 132 Army A = 56.02 5 7 61.89( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.38 123 | 54.15 136 133 Maine AA = 55.83 5 6 58.28( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.30 141 | 57.84 122 134 Fla. International A = 54.42 3 9 64.74( 99) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.12 149 | 56.19 130 135 UC Davis AA = 54.24 6 5 56.20( 139) 0 1 | 0 1 | 56.82 128 | 51.08 155 136 New Mexico A = 54.19 1 11 71.46( 55) 0 1 | 0 4 | 55.38 134 | 52.48 143 137 Akron A = 54.14 3 9 64.03( 100) 0 1 | 0 1 | 53.36 140 | 54.43 135 138 San Jose State A = 54.06 2 10 69.47( 68) 0 1 | 0 4 | 57.20 126 | 50.27 160 139 Holy Cross AA = 53.86 9 3 45.11( 200) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.57 155 | 56.54 127 140 Lafayette AA = 53.69 8 3 46.42( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.80 161 | 56.91 124 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 141 Tulane A = 53.55 3 9 66.90( 87) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.29 120 | 46.71 177 142 Southern Utah AA = 53.47 5 6 54.83( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.01 144 | 53.45 140 143 Samford AA = 53.28 5 6 54.61( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.82 160 | 56.09 131 144 Rice A = 53.26 2 10 69.05( 76) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.20 127 | 48.54 166 145 Hofstra AA = 53.11 5 6 55.33( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.05 151 | 53.68 138 146 Chattanooga AA = 52.73 6 5 54.87( 147) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.80 145 | 52.18 146 147 Harvard AA = 52.67 7 3 46.07( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.99 166 | 56.53 128 148 North Dakota AA = 52.43 6 5 53.41( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.61 136 | 49.65 162 149 Illinois State AA = 52.14 6 5 52.63( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.95 152 | 51.85 149 150 Georgia Southern AA = 52.07 5 6 56.80( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.68 146 | 50.96 156 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 151 Ball State A = 51.99 2 10 62.70( 109) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.95 159 | 53.48 139 152 Prairie View A&M AA = 51.98 9 1 39.45( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.11 132 | 46.94 174 153 New Mexico State A = 51.95 3 10 65.20( 94) 0 2 | 0 2 | 57.31 124 | 45.35 181 154 Texas State AA = 51.77 7 4 48.42( 175) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.65 148 | 50.39 158 155 Youngstown State AA = 51.71 6 5 52.15( 161) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.11 154 | 51.83 150 156 Miami-Ohio A = 51.52 1 11 68.25( 81) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.08 150 | 50.46 157 157 South Dakota AA = 51.49 5 5 52.32( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.27 153 | 51.23 152 158 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 51.36 4 7 58.32( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.08 142 | 49.06 165 159 Sacramento State AA = 51.23 5 6 55.89( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.88 133 | 45.47 180 160 North Texas A = 51.15 2 10 60.62( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.68 168 | 53.91 137 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 161 Colgate AA = 51.01 9 2 41.10( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.19 162 | 52.30 144 162 Missouri State AA = 50.87 6 5 51.06( 166) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.06 158 | 51.18 154 163 Eastern Illinois AA = 50.55 8 4 45.45( 196) 0 1 | 0 1 | 50.28 157 | 50.33 159 164 Stony Brook AA = 49.29 6 5 48.48( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.56 164 | 49.53 163 165 Citadel AA = 49.06 4 7 53.48( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.38 170 | 50.20 161 166 Brown AA = 49.05 6 4 45.79( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.26 179 | 52.02 147 167 Florida A&M AA = 48.89 8 3 40.63( 223) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.99 163 | 48.31 168 168 Wofford AA = 48.78 3 8 57.86( 133) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.95 167 | 49.12 164 169 Albany-NY AA = 48.67 7 4 42.65( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.19 180 | 51.36 151 170 Central Arkansas AA = 48.61 5 7 48.99( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.75 192 | 53.12 142 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 171 North Dakota State AA = 47.80 3 8 51.64( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.02 194 | 52.19 145 172 Dayton AA = 47.32 9 2 33.31( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.25 171 | 46.90 175 173 Central Connecticut AA = 47.24 9 3 42.58( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.21 172 | 46.79 176 174 Norfolk State AA = 46.74 7 4 41.50( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.64 176 | 47.33 172 175 Grambling AA = 46.53 7 4 40.21( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.42 169 | 45.10 183 176 SE Louisiana AA = 46.28 6 5 50.29( 168) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.24 165 | 43.62 188 177 Northern Colorado AA = 45.94 3 8 54.35( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.83 173 | 44.50 185 178 Butler AA = 45.31 11 1 34.96( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.54 156 | 37.83 210 179 Northeastern AA = 45.31 3 8 58.35( 130) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.17 175 | 43.91 187 180 Columbia AA = 44.94 4 6 45.99( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.09 200 | 48.51 167 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 181 Eastern Kentucky AA = 44.80 5 6 45.87( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.03 187 | 46.00 178 182 Charleston Southern AA = 44.47 6 5 47.72( 179) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.31 178 | 43.09 192 183 Tennessee Tech AA = 44.45 6 5 47.51( 180) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.42 177 | 42.93 193 184 Eastern Michigan A = 44.11 0 12 64.01( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.11 193 | 45.50 179 185 Drake AA = 43.92 8 3 38.26( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.97 185 | 43.37 191 186 Lehigh AA = 43.85 4 7 45.84( 190) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.52 207 | 47.69 171 187 Western Kentucky A = 43.67 0 12 63.36( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.32 214 | 48.11 169 188 Fordham AA = 43.49 5 6 42.22( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.01 216 | 47.99 170 189 Gardner-Webb AA = 43.45 6 5 48.76( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.52 183 | 41.81 195 190 Yale AA = 43.33 4 6 44.17( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.72 211 | 47.31 173 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 191 Portland State AA = 43.16 2 9 56.76( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.89 181 | 40.74 198 192 Western Carolina AA = 43.14 2 9 54.51( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.88 189 | 42.91 194 193 Coastal Carolina AA = 42.44 5 6 45.96( 188) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.78 191 | 41.59 196 194 Jacksonville AA = 42.17 7 4 35.88( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.75 205 | 44.63 184 195 Texas Southern AA = 42.05 6 5 45.48( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.81 174 | 34.86 223 196 Towson AA = 42.01 2 9 60.08( 125) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.24 184 | 38.90 203 197 Rhode Island AA = 41.80 1 10 58.63( 128) 0 0 | 0 2 | 37.02 215 | 45.18 182 198 Idaho State AA = 41.55 1 10 60.83( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.85 182 | 36.88 214 199 Old Dominion AA = 41.25 9 2 32.49( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.13 209 | 43.48 189 200 Sam Houston State AA = 40.96 5 6 48.47( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.30 186 | 37.70 211 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 201 Alabama A&M AA = 40.88 7 5 39.72( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.81 190 | 38.16 209 202 Robert Morris AA = 40.70 5 6 39.48( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.10 220 | 43.93 186 203 Bryant AA = 40.32 5 6 41.44( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.84 222 | 43.46 190 204 Tennessee-Martin AA = 40.23 5 6 45.54( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.36 197 | 38.50 205 205 Morgan State AA = 40.21 6 5 41.35( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.95 188 | 36.33 217 206 Delaware State AA = 39.65 4 6 45.44( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.30 199 | 38.45 206 207 Nicholls State AA = 39.59 3 8 51.81( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.96 195 | 36.23 218 208 Western Illinois AA = 39.58 1 10 54.28( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.47 208 | 40.17 200 209 Monmouth-NJ AA = 39.34 5 6 40.79( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.70 217 | 41.19 197 210 Wagner AA = 38.98 6 5 40.49( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.94 203 | 38.52 204 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 211 Hampton AA = 38.92 5 6 39.26( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.91 210 | 39.41 202 212 Southern University AA = 38.87 6 5 41.04( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.54 196 | 35.03 222 213 Princeton AA = 38.36 4 6 46.61( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.86 201 | 36.15 219 214 Dartmouth AA = 38.26 2 8 49.41( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.65 223 | 40.07 201 215 Austin Peay AA = 38.18 4 7 45.45( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.91 204 | 36.90 213 216 VMI AA = 37.71 2 9 48.41( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.16 225 | 40.17 199 217 Marist AA = 37.65 7 4 33.57( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.30 218 | 38.45 207 218 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 37.23 5 5 40.87( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.06 198 | 31.23 233 219 Tennessee State AA = 36.58 4 7 41.03( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 212 | 34.82 224 220 Bethune-Cookman AA = 36.20 5 6 38.84( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.99 202 | 32.07 229 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 221 Bucknell AA = 36.20 4 7 43.70( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.25 224 | 36.62 216 222 Cornell AA = 36.18 2 8 45.41( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.07 229 | 38.30 208 223 NC A&T AA = 35.96 4 6 40.25( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.02 221 | 35.41 221 224 Alcorn State AA = 35.54 3 6 43.73( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.53 206 | 31.01 234 225 SE Missouri State AA = 35.19 2 9 47.92( 178) 0 1 | 0 1 | 32.82 230 | 36.77 215 226 Indiana State AA = 35.19 1 10 55.20( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.53 213 | 31.72 231 227 San Diego AA = 34.87 4 7 39.22( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.33 232 | 37.25 212 228 Murray State AA = 33.93 3 8 46.75( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.26 219 | 30.44 235 229 Davidson AA = 33.03 3 7 40.86( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.11 228 | 32.46 228 230 Northwestern State AA = 32.87 0 11 52.24( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.67 227 | 31.49 232 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 231 Jackson State AA = 32.46 3 7 37.57( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.95 226 | 30.18 237 232 Sacred Heart AA = 32.19 2 8 40.88( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.41 237 | 34.65 225 233 Duquesne AA = 32.02 3 8 40.36( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.69 231 | 31.88 230 234 NC Central AA = 31.94 4 7 43.57( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.62 241 | 35.61 220 235 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 31.37 2 9 42.47( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.89 238 | 33.64 226 236 Presbyterian College AA = 31.02 0 11 49.41( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.44 236 | 32.71 227 237 Winston-Salem State AA = 28.51 1 10 41.26( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.69 240 | 30.31 236 238 Howard AA = 27.87 2 9 42.98( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.16 235 | 25.82 239 239 Alabama State AA = 27.41 4 7 35.85( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.93 233 | 23.30 242 240 Campbell AA = 26.36 3 8 37.75( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.05 239 | 25.09 240 FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 241 Georgetown AA = 26.24 0 11 45.28( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.48 243 | 28.54 238 242 Miss. Valley State AA = 25.75 3 8 41.68( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.62 234 | 17.74 244 243 Morehead State AA = 24.53 3 8 35.38( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.99 242 | 24.58 241 244 Savannah State AA = 19.28 2 8 39.07( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.69 244 | 19.38 243 245 Valparaiso AA = 15.58 1 10 38.24( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.99 245 | 15.67 245 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 14 60 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.48 81.07 ( 1) 12 80.87 ( 1)
2 BIG EAST (A) = 77.33 76.97 ( 2) 8 77.06 ( 2)
3 PAC-10 (A) = 76.23 75.45 ( 5) 10 75.77 ( 4)
4 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 76.04 75.90 ( 3) 12 75.92 ( 3)
5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.61 75.54 ( 4) 12 75.32 ( 5)
6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.74 74.49 ( 6) 11 74.30 ( 6)
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.04 69.61 ( 8) 3 70.09 ( 8)
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.92 71.48 ( 7) 9 71.29 ( 7)
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 65.46 66.03 ( 9) 9 65.52 ( 9)
10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 64.92 64.50 ( 10) 12 64.58 ( 10)
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 59.74 59.88 ( 11) 13 59.84 ( 11)
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.08 59.16 ( 12) 12 59.13 ( 12)
13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.20 58.29 ( 13) 9 58.28 ( 13)
14 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.64 54.56 ( 14) 9 54.48 ( 14)
15 SOUTHERN (AA)= 53.74 54.45 ( 15) 9 54.26 ( 15)
16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 52.53 52.60 ( 16) 5 52.60 ( 16)
17 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 52.33 52.11 ( 17) 9 52.23 ( 17)
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.01 46.79 ( 18) 8 46.86 ( 18)
19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 44.92 44.05 ( 20) 7 44.43 ( 20)
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.60 45.18 ( 19) 8 45.05 ( 19)
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.54 43.64 ( 21) 7 43.60 ( 21)
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.58 42.47 ( 22) 9 42.22 ( 22)
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.61 40.20 ( 23) 10 39.94 ( 23)
24 NORTHEAST (AA)= 38.53 38.82 ( 24) 8 38.77 ( 24)
25 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 37.84 37.87 ( 25) 10 37.84 ( 25)
26 PIONEER (AA)= 35.89 35.07 ( 26) 10 35.42 ( 26)
27 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 34.18 33.20 ( 27) 4 33.53 ( 27)
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1 -90.00 ( 28)
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
4 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 76.04 75.90 ( 3) 12 75.92 ( 3)
2 BIG EAST (A) = 77.33 76.97 ( 2) 8 77.06 ( 2)
6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.74 74.49 ( 6) 11 74.30 ( 6)
5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.61 75.54 ( 4) 12 75.32 ( 5)
10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 64.92 64.50 ( 10) 12 64.58 ( 10)
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 59.74 59.88 ( 11) 13 59.84 ( 11)
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.92 71.48 ( 7) 9 71.29 ( 7)
3 PAC-10 (A) = 76.23 75.45 ( 5) 10 75.77 ( 4)
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.48 81.07 ( 1) 12 80.87 ( 1)
13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.20 58.29 ( 13) 9 58.28 ( 13)
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 65.46 66.03 ( 9) 9 65.52 ( 9)
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.04 69.61 ( 8) 3 70.09 ( 8)
14 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.64 54.56 ( 14) 9 54.48 ( 14)
21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.54 43.64 ( 21) 7 43.60 ( 21)
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.08 59.16 ( 12) 12 59.13 ( 12)
16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 52.53 52.60 ( 16) 5 52.60 ( 16)
20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.60 45.18 ( 19) 8 45.05 ( 19)
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.61 40.20 ( 23) 10 39.94 ( 23)
17 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 52.33 52.11 ( 17) 9 52.23 ( 17)
24 NORTHEAST (AA)= 38.53 38.82 ( 24) 8 38.77 ( 24)
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.58 42.47 ( 22) 9 42.22 ( 22)
19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 44.92 44.05 ( 20) 7 44.43 ( 20)
26 PIONEER (AA)= 35.89 35.07 ( 26) 10 35.42 ( 26)
15 SOUTHERN (AA)= 53.74 54.45 ( 15) 9 54.26 ( 15)
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.01 46.79 ( 18) 8 46.86 ( 18)
25 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 37.84 37.87 ( 25) 10 37.84 ( 25)
27 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 34.18 33.20 ( 27) 4 33.53 ( 27)
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1 -90.00 ( 28)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 76.04 75.90 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 75.92 ( 3) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 7 Virginia Tech A = 87.69 10 3 75.77( 13) 0 1 | 2 2 | 84.03 13 | 92.71 3 12 Georgia Tech A = 84.60 11 3 76.17( 10) 1 1 | 3 3 | 84.27 12 | 84.45 12 21 Miami-Florida A = 81.72 9 4 76.18( 8) 0 1 | 2 3 | 80.42 21 | 82.63 21 22 Clemson A = 81.54 9 5 74.42( 24) 0 1 | 1 3 | 79.19 28 | 83.83 14 31 Florida State A = 78.56 7 6 77.11( 3) 0 1 | 1 4 | 79.20 27 | 77.48 35 33 North Carolina A = 78.47 8 5 73.66( 32) 1 0 | 3 2 | 77.22 38 | 79.31 30 44 Boston College A = 76.14 8 5 72.52( 43) 0 1 | 0 3 | 75.15 47 | 76.68 39 56 Wake Forest A = 72.55 5 7 73.90( 28) 0 0 | 1 3 | 70.72 65 | 74.04 53 73 Virginia A = 69.01 3 9 76.18( 9) 0 2 | 0 5 | 66.63 86 | 71.10 60 74 NC State A = 68.85 5 7 71.86( 51) 0 1 | 1 2 | 69.04 75 | 68.19 79 78 Duke A = 67.87 5 7 71.57( 54) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.92 83 | 67.34 82 97 Maryland A = 63.83 2 10 73.51( 33) 0 1 | 1 1 | 62.82 100 | 64.37 96 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 BIG EAST (A) = 77.33 76.97 ( 2) TEAMS= 8 77.06 ( 2) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 8 Cincinnati A = 86.84 12 1 72.51( 44) 0 1 | 2 1 | 90.57 5 | 83.74 15 16 Pittsburgh A = 83.50 10 3 72.90( 40) 0 1 | 1 1 | 82.81 16 | 83.73 16 28 Connecticut A = 79.42 8 5 73.45( 34) 0 1 | 0 2 | 78.76 30 | 79.61 28 32 West Virginia A = 78.55 9 4 73.71( 31) 0 1 | 2 2 | 79.81 26 | 76.95 37 39 South Florida A = 77.28 8 5 70.83( 59) 0 1 | 0 4 | 77.53 37 | 76.57 40 41 Rutgers A = 76.98 9 4 67.65( 83) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.64 35 | 75.88 45 83 Syracuse A = 67.05 4 8 73.21( 36) 0 2 | 0 4 | 68.59 77 | 65.11 91 87 Louisville A = 66.13 4 8 74.29( 25) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.46 78 | 63.49 98 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 BIG TEN (A) = 73.74 74.49 ( 6) TEAMS= 11 74.30 ( 6) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 6 Ohio State A = 88.35 11 2 72.05( 50) 2 0 | 4 1 | 87.22 8 | 89.08 7 9 Iowa A = 85.82 11 2 72.64( 41) 1 1 | 3 1 | 88.17 7 | 83.50 17 10 Penn State A = 85.43 11 2 69.21( 73) 0 2 | 1 2 | 84.79 10 | 85.60 10 23 Wisconsin A = 81.21 10 3 70.18( 64) 0 2 | 1 2 | 81.97 17 | 80.04 25 55 Michigan State A = 73.28 6 7 72.37( 47) 0 2 | 0 4 | 70.67 66 | 75.75 46 61 Northwestern A = 70.95 8 5 68.34( 80) 1 1 | 2 2 | 72.70 56 | 68.87 72 64 Minnesota A = 70.61 6 7 74.00( 26) 0 3 | 0 4 | 71.41 62 | 69.37 67 75 Purdue A = 68.60 5 7 71.11( 57) 1 0 | 1 2 | 66.91 84 | 69.90 65 81 Michigan A = 67.18 5 7 69.24( 72) 0 3 | 0 4 | 64.49 93 | 69.59 66 94 Illinois A = 64.37 3 9 72.30( 48) 0 3 | 0 3 | 62.99 97 | 65.30 89 98 Indiana A = 63.56 4 8 70.21( 63) 0 3 | 0 4 | 61.93 106 | 64.75 94 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.61 75.54 ( 4) TEAMS= 12 75.32 ( 5) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 3 Texas A = 92.39 13 1 73.09( 38) 0 1 | 3 1 | 91.81 4 | 92.51 4 14 Nebraska A = 84.06 10 4 71.83( 52) 0 2 | 1 3 | 80.01 25 | 89.64 5 17 Oklahoma A = 83.15 8 5 74.59( 22) 0 1 | 1 5 | 79.13 29 | 88.52 8 25 Texas Tech A = 80.25 9 4 70.25( 62) 0 1 | 2 1 | 77.53 36 | 83.05 18 40 Oklahoma State A = 77.28 9 4 72.25( 49) 0 1 | 2 3 | 78.07 33 | 76.07 43 54 Missouri A = 73.42 8 5 71.09( 58) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.35 53 | 73.01 57 58 Texas A&M A = 71.72 6 7 72.48( 45) 0 1 | 1 4 | 70.78 64 | 72.19 58 62 Kansas A = 70.88 5 7 71.74( 53) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.08 82 | 73.52 55 66 Iowa State A = 70.30 7 6 69.32( 71) 0 1 | 1 1 | 71.91 61 | 68.34 76 68 Kansas State A = 69.79 6 6 69.73( 66) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.21 73 | 69.90 64 80 Baylor A = 67.37 4 8 75.06( 18) 0 1 | 0 5 | 69.14 74 | 65.24 90 91 Colorado A = 65.89 3 9 72.56( 42) 0 1 | 0 2 | 64.70 92 | 66.63 83 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 64.92 64.50 ( 10) TEAMS= 12 64.58 ( 10) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 East Carolina A = 74.52 9 5 69.90( 65) 0 1 | 0 2 | 75.00 48 | 73.58 54 53 Houston A = 73.54 10 4 66.83( 88) 0 0 | 1 0 | 73.29 54 | 73.32 56 65 SMU A = 70.35 8 5 65.96( 92) 0 1 | 0 1 | 72.06 60 | 68.30 77 71 Central Florida A = 69.34 8 5 66.29( 90) 0 1 | 0 2 | 70.41 67 | 67.85 80 77 Southern Miss A = 68.07 7 6 65.25( 93) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.77 85 | 68.93 71 79 Marshall A = 67.60 7 6 67.04( 86) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.03 76 | 65.77 88 96 Tulsa A = 63.96 5 7 64.79( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 62.63 101 | 64.83 93 99 UAB A = 63.49 5 7 67.40( 85) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.05 90 | 61.50 107 113 UTEP A = 59.94 4 8 63.82( 102) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.87 115 | 59.53 116 130 Memphis A = 56.39 2 10 68.71( 78) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.64 129 | 55.66 132 141 Tulane A = 53.55 3 9 66.90( 87) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.29 120 | 46.71 177 144 Rice A = 53.26 2 10 69.05( 76) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.20 127 | 48.54 166 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 59.74 59.88 ( 11) TEAMS= 13 59.84 ( 11) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 42 Central Michigan A = 76.48 12 2 62.40( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.71 34 | 74.90 50 72 Temple A = 69.24 9 4 62.21( 111) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.35 72 | 68.65 74 88 Ohio University A = 66.13 9 5 62.74( 108) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.82 88 | 65.96 87 92 Bowling Green A = 65.35 7 6 64.82( 97) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.32 89 | 64.89 92 95 Northern Illinois A = 64.33 7 6 60.93( 118) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.27 104 | 65.99 86 107 Buffalo A = 61.95 5 7 63.15( 106) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.16 111 | 63.29 99 119 Kent State A = 58.07 5 7 60.69( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.22 125 | 58.44 118 122 Toledo A = 57.77 5 7 63.04( 107) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.57 121 | 56.50 129 125 Western Michigan A = 57.31 5 7 60.87( 119) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.59 130 | 57.56 123 137 Akron A = 54.14 3 9 64.03( 100) 0 1 | 0 1 | 53.36 140 | 54.43 135 151 Ball State A = 51.99 2 10 62.70( 109) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.95 159 | 53.48 139 156 Miami-Ohio A = 51.52 1 11 68.25( 81) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.08 150 | 50.46 157 184 Eastern Michigan A = 44.11 0 12 64.01( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.11 193 | 45.50 179 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 70.92 71.48 ( 7) TEAMS= 9 71.29 ( 7) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 4 TCU A = 90.16 12 1 70.59( 60) 0 1 | 3 1 | 90.29 6 | 89.56 6 15 BYU A = 83.60 11 2 70.34( 61) 0 1 | 2 1 | 84.94 9 | 81.97 23 24 Utah A = 80.59 10 3 69.06( 75) 0 1 | 0 3 | 82.95 15 | 78.18 32 35 Air Force A = 78.21 8 5 68.39( 79) 0 1 | 0 3 | 76.37 42 | 79.76 26 82 Wyoming A = 67.09 7 6 71.17( 56) 0 2 | 0 4 | 74.54 49 | 60.66 111 93 UNLV A = 64.91 5 7 69.35( 70) 0 1 | 0 3 | 68.26 80 | 61.35 108 103 San Diego State A = 62.52 4 8 69.41( 69) 0 1 | 0 3 | 64.86 91 | 59.80 113 106 Colorado State A = 62.05 3 9 69.70( 67) 0 1 | 0 3 | 62.86 99 | 60.77 110 136 New Mexico A = 54.19 1 11 71.46( 55) 0 1 | 0 4 | 55.38 134 | 52.48 143 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 PAC-10 (A) = 76.23 75.45 ( 5) TEAMS= 10 75.77 ( 4) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Oregon A = 85.27 10 3 76.29( 6) 0 2 | 2 3 | 84.35 11 | 85.77 9 20 Southern California A = 81.95 9 4 74.96( 19) 1 0 | 1 2 | 81.04 20 | 82.41 22 29 Stanford A = 78.89 8 5 73.85( 29) 0 0 | 2 1 | 76.19 43 | 81.61 24 34 Oregon State A = 78.35 8 5 74.56( 23) 0 1 | 1 4 | 78.63 31 | 77.61 34 37 Arizona A = 77.64 8 5 76.16( 11) 0 1 | 2 3 | 78.59 32 | 76.29 42 46 California A = 75.77 8 5 73.93( 27) 0 0 | 1 3 | 77.15 39 | 74.05 52 50 UCLA A = 75.03 7 6 73.78( 30) 0 0 | 0 3 | 75.42 46 | 74.19 51 52 Washington A = 74.34 5 7 75.46( 14) 0 0 | 1 3 | 73.27 55 | 74.97 49 67 Arizona State A = 70.11 4 8 73.07( 39) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.11 81 | 71.77 59 126 Washington State A = 57.16 1 11 75.36( 16) 0 0 | 0 3 | 61.75 107 | 52.01 148 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.48 81.07 ( 1) TEAMS= 12 80.87 ( 1) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Alabama A = 100.25 14 0 77.28( 2) 3 0 | 7 0 | 103.11 1 | 97.87 1 2 Florida A = 95.75 13 1 75.39( 15) 1 1 | 4 1 | 96.44 2 | 94.68 2 13 LSU A = 84.22 9 4 76.64( 5) 0 3 | 3 4 | 83.74 14 | 84.21 13 18 Arkansas A = 82.49 8 5 75.93( 12) 0 2 | 1 5 | 81.60 19 | 82.93 19 19 Mississippi A = 82.38 9 4 72.47( 46) 0 1 | 2 2 | 81.63 18 | 82.68 20 26 Georgia A = 80.08 8 5 76.22( 7) 0 1 | 3 2 | 80.32 24 | 79.38 29 27 Auburn A = 79.43 8 5 75.22( 17) 0 1 | 1 4 | 80.38 22 | 78.09 33 36 Tennessee A = 77.96 7 6 74.80( 21) 0 3 | 1 5 | 76.03 44 | 79.62 27 43 South Carolina A = 76.43 7 6 76.92( 4) 0 2 | 2 5 | 76.75 41 | 75.66 48 45 Mississippi State A = 76.04 5 7 78.52( 1) 0 2 | 1 6 | 75.89 45 | 75.72 47 47 Kentucky A = 75.35 7 6 73.38( 35) 0 2 | 2 3 | 74.25 50 | 76.02 44 104 Vanderbilt A = 62.47 2 10 74.89( 20) 0 1 | 0 5 | 59.95 114 | 64.59 95 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.20 58.29 ( 13) TEAMS= 9 58.28 ( 13) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 63 Middle Tennessee A = 70.87 10 3 61.49( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.12 59 | 69.23 68 69 Troy A = 69.60 9 4 63.46( 103) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.88 68 | 68.85 73 109 Louisiana-Monroe A = 61.51 6 6 61.93( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.99 108 | 61.55 106 114 Florida Atlantic A = 59.26 5 7 63.36( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.01 113 | 58.03 121 123 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 57.67 6 6 61.43( 116) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.73 116 | 55.12 134 129 Arkansas State A = 56.44 4 8 61.89( 114) 0 1 | 0 2 | 52.65 147 | 59.68 115 134 Fla. International A = 54.42 3 9 64.74( 99) 0 2 | 0 2 | 52.12 149 | 56.19 130 160 North Texas A = 51.15 2 10 60.62( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.68 168 | 53.91 137 187 Western Kentucky A = 43.67 0 12 63.36( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.32 214 | 48.11 169 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 65.46 66.03 ( 9) TEAMS= 9 65.52 ( 9) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 5 Boise State A = 89.35 14 0 64.97( 96) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.89 3 | 85.57 11 59 Fresno State A = 71.39 8 5 67.49( 84) 0 2 | 0 3 | 72.37 57 | 69.99 63 70 Nevada A = 69.43 8 5 66.34( 89) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.82 69 | 68.57 75 85 Idaho A = 66.19 8 5 64.98( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.47 71 | 62.74 101 89 Louisiana Tech A = 66.12 4 8 69.17( 74) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.62 96 | 68.28 78 100 Utah State A = 63.33 4 8 68.95( 77) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.66 95 | 62.53 102 105 Hawaii A = 62.47 6 7 66.09( 91) 0 1 | 0 2 | 66.37 87 | 58.33 119 138 San Jose State A = 54.06 2 10 69.47( 68) 0 1 | 0 4 | 57.20 126 | 50.27 160 153 New Mexico State A = 51.95 3 10 65.20( 94) 0 2 | 0 2 | 57.31 124 | 45.35 181 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.04 69.61 ( 8) TEAMS= 3 70.09 ( 8) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 38 Navy A = 77.51 10 4 68.19( 82) 0 1 | 0 2 | 77.14 40 | 77.41 36 48 Notre Dame A = 75.31 6 6 73.17( 37) 0 0 | 0 4 | 72.36 58 | 78.29 31 132 Army A = 56.02 5 7 61.89( 113) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.38 123 | 54.15 136 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 14 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.64 54.56 ( 14) TEAMS= 9 54.48 ( 14) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 57 Montana AA = 71.73 14 1 55.78( 143) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.01 51 | 69.23 69 110 Eastern Washington AA = 61.32 8 4 56.84( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.43 103 | 59.76 114 111 Weber State AA = 60.89 7 5 57.35( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.96 105 | 59.36 117 120 Montana State AA = 57.88 7 4 55.46( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.03 112 | 55.25 133 124 Northern Arizona AA = 57.34 5 6 58.40( 129) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.51 122 | 56.68 125 159 Sacramento State AA = 51.23 5 6 55.89( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.88 133 | 45.47 180 177 Northern Colorado AA = 45.94 3 8 54.35( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.83 173 | 44.50 185 191 Portland State AA = 43.16 2 9 56.76( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.89 181 | 40.74 198 198 Idaho State AA = 41.55 1 10 60.83( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.85 182 | 36.88 214 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 21 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.54 43.64 ( 21) TEAMS= 7 43.60 ( 21) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 127 Liberty AA = 57.11 8 3 46.39( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.55 138 | 60.14 112 164 Stony Brook AA = 49.29 6 5 48.48( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.56 164 | 49.53 163 182 Charleston Southern AA = 44.47 6 5 47.72( 179) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.31 178 | 43.09 192 189 Gardner-Webb AA = 43.45 6 5 48.76( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.52 183 | 41.81 195 193 Coastal Carolina AA = 42.44 5 6 45.96( 188) 0 0 | 0 1 | 42.78 191 | 41.59 196 216 VMI AA = 37.71 2 9 48.41( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.16 225 | 40.17 199 236 Presbyterian College AA = 31.02 0 11 49.41( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.44 236 | 32.71 227 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 COLONIAL (AA)= 59.08 59.16 ( 12) TEAMS= 12 59.13 ( 12) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 30 Villanova AA = 78.74 14 1 60.49( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 80.36 23 | 76.84 38 49 William & Mary AA = 75.19 11 3 59.96( 126) 0 0 | 0 2 | 73.59 52 | 76.43 41 60 Richmond AA = 71.25 11 2 58.64( 127) 0 0 | 0 1 | 71.36 63 | 70.66 62 84 New Hampshire AA = 66.42 10 3 54.05( 154) 0 0 | 1 1 | 68.45 79 | 64.04 97 108 James Madison AA = 61.78 6 5 60.48( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.85 109 | 62.23 104 112 Delaware AA = 60.65 6 5 61.14( 117) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.61 117 | 61.21 109 121 Massachusetts AA = 57.81 5 6 56.43( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.52 139 | 61.60 105 133 Maine AA = 55.83 5 6 58.28( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.30 141 | 57.84 122 145 Hofstra AA = 53.11 5 6 55.33( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.05 151 | 53.68 138 179 Northeastern AA = 45.31 3 8 58.35( 130) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.17 175 | 43.91 187 196 Towson AA = 42.01 2 9 60.08( 125) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.24 184 | 38.90 203 197 Rhode Island AA = 41.80 1 10 58.63( 128) 0 0 | 0 2 | 37.02 215 | 45.18 182 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 16 GREAT WEST (AA)= 52.53 52.60 ( 16) TEAMS= 5 52.60 ( 16) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 135 UC Davis AA = 54.24 6 5 56.20( 139) 0 1 | 0 1 | 56.82 128 | 51.08 155 142 Southern Utah AA = 53.47 5 6 54.83( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.01 144 | 53.45 140 148 North Dakota AA = 52.43 6 5 53.41( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.61 136 | 49.65 162 157 South Dakota AA = 51.49 5 5 52.32( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.27 153 | 51.23 152 158 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 51.36 4 7 58.32( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.08 142 | 49.06 165 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 20 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.60 45.18 ( 19) TEAMS= 8 45.05 ( 19) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 116 Pennsylvania AA = 58.68 8 2 46.28( 185) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.39 137 | 62.52 103 147 Harvard AA = 52.67 7 3 46.07( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.99 166 | 56.53 128 166 Brown AA = 49.05 6 4 45.79( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.26 179 | 52.02 147 180 Columbia AA = 44.94 4 6 45.99( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.09 200 | 48.51 167 190 Yale AA = 43.33 4 6 44.17( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.72 211 | 47.31 173 213 Princeton AA = 38.36 4 6 46.61( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.86 201 | 36.15 219 214 Dartmouth AA = 38.26 2 8 49.41( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.65 223 | 40.07 201 222 Cornell AA = 36.18 2 8 45.41( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.07 229 | 38.30 208 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.61 40.20 ( 23) TEAMS= 10 39.94 ( 23) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 115 SC State AA = 59.03 10 2 42.76( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.38 118 | 58.21 120 167 Florida A&M AA = 48.89 8 3 40.63( 223) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.99 163 | 48.31 168 174 Norfolk State AA = 46.74 7 4 41.50( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.64 176 | 47.33 172 205 Morgan State AA = 40.21 6 5 41.35( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.95 188 | 36.33 217 206 Delaware State AA = 39.65 4 6 45.44( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.30 199 | 38.45 206 211 Hampton AA = 38.92 5 6 39.26( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.91 210 | 39.41 202 220 Bethune-Cookman AA = 36.20 5 6 38.84( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.99 202 | 32.07 229 223 NC A&T AA = 35.96 4 6 40.25( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.02 221 | 35.41 221 237 Winston-Salem State AA = 28.51 1 10 41.26( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.69 240 | 30.31 236 238 Howard AA = 27.87 2 9 42.98( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.16 235 | 25.82 239 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 17 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 52.33 52.11 ( 17) TEAMS= 9 52.23 ( 17) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 86 Southern Illinois AA = 66.19 11 2 51.94( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.25 94 | 67.73 81 101 South Dakota State AA = 63.02 8 4 54.80( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.34 119 | 66.43 84 102 Northern Iowa AA = 62.53 7 4 51.07( 165) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.88 135 | 70.70 61 149 Illinois State AA = 52.14 6 5 52.63( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.95 152 | 51.85 149 155 Youngstown State AA = 51.71 6 5 52.15( 161) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.11 154 | 51.83 150 162 Missouri State AA = 50.87 6 5 51.06( 166) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.06 158 | 51.18 154 171 North Dakota State AA = 47.80 3 8 51.64( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.02 194 | 52.19 145 208 Western Illinois AA = 39.58 1 10 54.28( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.47 208 | 40.17 200 226 Indiana State AA = 35.19 1 10 55.20( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.53 213 | 31.72 231 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 24 NORTHEAST (AA)= 38.53 38.82 ( 24) TEAMS= 8 38.77 ( 24) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 169 Albany-NY AA = 48.67 7 4 42.65( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.19 180 | 51.36 151 173 Central Connecticut AA = 47.24 9 3 42.58( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.21 172 | 46.79 176 202 Robert Morris AA = 40.70 5 6 39.48( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.10 220 | 43.93 186 209 Monmouth-NJ AA = 39.34 5 6 40.79( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.70 217 | 41.19 197 210 Wagner AA = 38.98 6 5 40.49( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.94 203 | 38.52 204 232 Sacred Heart AA = 32.19 2 8 40.88( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.41 237 | 34.65 225 233 Duquesne AA = 32.02 3 8 40.36( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.69 231 | 31.88 230 235 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 31.37 2 9 42.47( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.89 238 | 33.64 226 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.58 42.47 ( 22) TEAMS= 9 42.22 ( 22) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 117 Jacksonville State AA = 58.31 8 3 45.51( 193) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.03 143 | 63.14 100 163 Eastern Illinois AA = 50.55 8 4 45.45( 196) 0 1 | 0 1 | 50.28 157 | 50.33 159 181 Eastern Kentucky AA = 44.80 5 6 45.87( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.03 187 | 46.00 178 183 Tennessee Tech AA = 44.45 6 5 47.51( 180) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.42 177 | 42.93 193 204 Tennessee-Martin AA = 40.23 5 6 45.54( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.36 197 | 38.50 205 215 Austin Peay AA = 38.18 4 7 45.45( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.91 204 | 36.90 213 219 Tennessee State AA = 36.58 4 7 41.03( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 212 | 34.82 224 225 SE Missouri State AA = 35.19 2 9 47.92( 178) 0 1 | 0 1 | 32.82 230 | 36.77 215 228 Murray State AA = 33.93 3 8 46.75( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.26 219 | 30.44 235 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 44.92 44.05 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 44.43 ( 20) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 139 Holy Cross AA = 53.86 9 3 45.11( 200) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.57 155 | 56.54 127 140 Lafayette AA = 53.69 8 3 46.42( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.80 161 | 56.91 124 161 Colgate AA = 51.01 9 2 41.10( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.19 162 | 52.30 144 186 Lehigh AA = 43.85 4 7 45.84( 190) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.52 207 | 47.69 171 188 Fordham AA = 43.49 5 6 42.22( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.01 216 | 47.99 170 221 Bucknell AA = 36.20 4 7 43.70( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.25 224 | 36.62 216 241 Georgetown AA = 26.24 0 11 45.28( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.48 243 | 28.54 238 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 26 PIONEER (AA)= 35.89 35.07 ( 26) TEAMS= 10 35.42 ( 26) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 172 Dayton AA = 47.32 9 2 33.31( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.25 171 | 46.90 175 178 Butler AA = 45.31 11 1 34.96( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.54 156 | 37.83 210 185 Drake AA = 43.92 8 3 38.26( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.97 185 | 43.37 191 194 Jacksonville AA = 42.17 7 4 35.88( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.75 205 | 44.63 184 217 Marist AA = 37.65 7 4 33.57( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.30 218 | 38.45 207 227 San Diego AA = 34.87 4 7 39.22( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.33 232 | 37.25 212 229 Davidson AA = 33.03 3 7 40.86( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.11 228 | 32.46 228 240 Campbell AA = 26.36 3 8 37.75( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.05 239 | 25.09 240 243 Morehead State AA = 24.53 3 8 35.38( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.99 242 | 24.58 241 245 Valparaiso AA = 15.58 1 10 38.24( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.99 245 | 15.67 245 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 15 SOUTHERN (AA)= 53.74 54.45 ( 15) TEAMS= 9 54.26 ( 15) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 76 Appalachian State AA = 68.12 11 3 56.04( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.77 70 | 66.10 85 90 Elon AA = 66.10 9 3 53.02( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.90 98 | 69.09 70 128 Furman AA = 56.75 6 5 56.19( 140) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.41 131 | 56.61 126 143 Samford AA = 53.28 5 6 54.61( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.82 160 | 56.09 131 146 Chattanooga AA = 52.73 6 5 54.87( 147) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.80 145 | 52.18 146 150 Georgia Southern AA = 52.07 5 6 56.80( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.68 146 | 50.96 156 165 Citadel AA = 49.06 4 7 53.48( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.38 170 | 50.20 161 168 Wofford AA = 48.78 3 8 57.86( 133) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.95 167 | 49.12 164 192 Western Carolina AA = 43.14 2 9 54.51( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.88 189 | 42.91 194 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.01 46.79 ( 18) TEAMS= 8 46.86 ( 18) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 118 Stephen F. Austin AA = 58.12 10 3 50.83( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.62 102 | 53.15 141 131 McNeese State AA = 56.11 9 3 48.19( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.40 110 | 51.20 153 154 Texas State AA = 51.77 7 4 48.42( 175) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.65 148 | 50.39 158 170 Central Arkansas AA = 48.61 5 7 48.99( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.75 192 | 53.12 142 176 SE Louisiana AA = 46.28 6 5 50.29( 168) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.24 165 | 43.62 188 200 Sam Houston State AA = 40.96 5 6 48.47( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.30 186 | 37.70 211 207 Nicholls State AA = 39.59 3 8 51.81( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.96 195 | 36.23 218 230 Northwestern State AA = 32.87 0 11 52.24( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.67 227 | 31.49 232 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 25 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 37.84 37.87 ( 25) TEAMS= 10 37.84 ( 25) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 152 Prairie View A&M AA = 51.98 9 1 39.45( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.11 132 | 46.94 174 175 Grambling AA = 46.53 7 4 40.21( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.42 169 | 45.10 183 195 Texas Southern AA = 42.05 6 5 45.48( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.81 174 | 34.86 223 201 Alabama A&M AA = 40.88 7 5 39.72( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.81 190 | 38.16 209 212 Southern University AA = 38.87 6 5 41.04( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.54 196 | 35.03 222 218 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 37.23 5 5 40.87( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.06 198 | 31.23 233 224 Alcorn State AA = 35.54 3 6 43.73( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.53 206 | 31.01 234 231 Jackson State AA = 32.46 3 7 37.57( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.95 226 | 30.18 237 239 Alabama State AA = 27.41 4 7 35.85( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.93 233 | 23.30 242 242 Miss. Valley State AA = 25.75 3 8 41.68( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.62 234 | 17.74 244 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 27 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 34.18 33.20 ( 27) TEAMS= 4 33.53 ( 27) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 199 Old Dominion AA = 41.25 9 2 32.49( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.13 209 | 43.48 189 203 Bryant AA = 40.32 5 6 41.44( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.84 222 | 43.46 190 234 NC Central AA = 31.94 4 7 43.57( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.62 241 | 35.61 220 244 Savannah State AA = 19.28 2 8 39.07( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.69 244 | 19.38 243 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) TEAMS= 1 -90.00 ( 28) FINAL College Football 2009 through games of 2010 January 7 Thursday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.31 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 14 60 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________endfile