United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2009 through results of 2009 NOVEMBER 15 SUNDAY
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is unbiased now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 245 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the ELO-CHESS is then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is now unbiased.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Alabama A = 93.69 10 0 73.30( 22) 2 0 | 4 0 | 93.13 3 | 93.69 2 2 Florida A = 93.53 10 0 71.86( 34) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.04 1 | 92.50 3 3 TCU A = 91.44 10 0 70.21( 48) 0 0 | 2 0 | 90.94 4 | 91.37 4 4 Texas A = 91.01 10 0 70.11( 50) 0 0 | 2 0 | 88.34 5 | 93.98 1 5 Cincinnati A = 89.17 10 0 68.83( 65) 0 0 | 1 0 | 93.74 2 | 85.62 13 6 Oregon A = 88.41 8 2 76.23( 6) 0 1 | 3 2 | 86.88 9 | 89.56 6 7 Georgia Tech A = 87.87 10 1 74.82( 12) 1 0 | 3 1 | 88.07 6 | 87.10 9 8 Boise State A = 87.20 10 0 65.82( 91) 1 0 | 1 0 | 87.41 8 | 86.43 11 9 Virginia Tech A = 86.44 7 3 77.40( 3) 0 2 | 3 3 | 83.27 13 | 90.15 5 10 LSU A = 85.40 8 2 72.39( 29) 0 2 | 0 2 | 87.65 7 | 83.03 19 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Ohio State A = 84.60 9 2 70.15( 49) 0 0 | 3 1 | 82.08 18 | 87.10 8 12 Southern California A = 84.29 7 3 76.94( 5) 0 1 | 3 2 | 84.29 10 | 83.71 15 13 Clemson A = 84.21 7 3 72.93( 25) 0 2 | 2 2 | 81.72 20 | 86.67 10 14 Pittsburgh A = 84.13 9 1 69.31( 57) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.20 11 | 83.50 16 15 Stanford A = 84.00 7 3 75.24( 11) 1 0 | 2 2 | 82.48 15 | 85.10 14 16 Miami-Florida A = 83.05 7 3 75.69( 8) 1 1 | 2 3 | 82.40 16 | 83.12 18 17 Oregon State A = 82.88 7 3 74.80( 14) 0 1 | 2 3 | 83.97 12 | 81.34 25 18 Iowa A = 82.19 9 2 72.04( 33) 0 0 | 3 1 | 83.10 14 | 80.78 26 19 Arizona A = 82.05 6 3 74.82( 13) 0 0 | 2 2 | 82.15 17 | 81.37 24 20 Oklahoma State A = 81.33 8 2 69.21( 60) 0 1 | 0 1 | 80.43 24 | 81.69 21 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 21 Penn State A = 81.01 9 2 67.02( 84) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.66 31 | 83.19 17 22 California A = 80.31 7 3 74.08( 19) 0 1 | 1 3 | 81.90 19 | 78.35 31 23 Oklahoma A = 80.08 6 4 71.01( 45) 0 1 | 0 3 | 74.35 52 | 89.27 7 24 Arkansas A = 80.04 6 4 72.78( 27) 0 2 | 0 3 | 77.95 35 | 81.84 20 25 Boston College A = 79.99 7 3 71.49( 37) 0 1 | 0 2 | 78.79 29 | 80.67 27 26 Nebraska A = 79.43 7 3 69.38( 55) 0 1 | 1 1 | 74.54 49 | 86.12 12 27 Mississippi A = 79.28 7 3 69.13( 61) 0 1 | 1 1 | 76.77 39 | 81.63 22 28 North Carolina A = 79.19 7 3 71.04( 44) 1 1 | 2 1 | 80.22 25 | 77.68 33 29 Utah A = 78.90 8 2 68.31( 71) 0 2 | 0 2 | 80.97 23 | 76.56 43 30 Wisconsin A = 78.89 8 2 69.39( 54) 0 0 | 0 2 | 79.58 27 | 77.68 34 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 31 BYU A = 78.83 8 2 67.53( 79) 0 1 | 1 1 | 78.61 32 | 78.46 30 32 Florida State A = 78.43 5 5 77.11( 4) 0 1 | 1 4 | 77.99 34 | 78.29 32 33 Georgia A = 78.42 6 4 74.73( 15) 0 2 | 1 3 | 79.60 26 | 76.77 39 34 Rutgers A = 78.06 7 2 62.10( 113) 0 1 | 0 2 | 81.38 21 | 74.83 49 35 West Virginia A = 78.00 7 3 71.23( 39) 0 1 | 0 1 | 78.76 30 | 76.73 40 36 Notre Dame A = 77.96 6 4 73.51( 20) 0 0 | 1 2 | 75.83 42 | 79.78 29 37 Auburn A = 77.86 7 4 71.81( 35) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.72 37 | 77.42 35 38 South Florida A = 77.58 6 3 67.89( 73) 0 1 | 0 2 | 81.34 22 | 74.06 56 39 Tennessee A = 77.18 5 5 73.01( 24) 0 2 | 0 3 | 74.12 54 | 80.28 28 40 Navy A = 77.17 8 3 68.45( 69) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.01 33 | 75.83 44 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 41 UCLA A = 77.13 5 5 76.16( 7) 0 1 | 0 5 | 76.73 40 | 76.96 38 42 Texas Tech A = 76.71 6 4 68.73( 67) 0 1 | 1 2 | 72.59 60 | 81.50 23 43 Villanova AA = 76.60 9 1 57.63( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 78.90 28 | 74.07 55 44 Houston A = 76.17 8 2 65.72( 93) 0 0 | 1 0 | 77.84 36 | 74.12 54 45 Central Michigan A = 76.07 8 2 62.37( 111) 0 0 | 0 2 | 77.36 38 | 74.33 52 46 South Carolina A = 75.76 6 5 74.64( 16) 0 2 | 1 3 | 75.99 41 | 74.96 47 47 Connecticut A = 75.71 4 5 72.89( 26) 0 1 | 0 3 | 74.23 53 | 76.71 41 48 Kentucky A = 75.47 6 4 69.91( 51) 0 2 | 0 2 | 75.42 43 | 74.95 48 49 Air Force A = 75.47 7 4 64.87( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.24 57 | 77.39 36 50 Missouri A = 75.33 6 4 71.08( 41) 0 1 | 0 3 | 73.25 56 | 77.04 37 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 51 Fresno State A = 75.10 6 4 69.30( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 74.35 51 | 75.28 45 52 Mississippi State A = 75.00 4 6 74.58( 17) 0 4 | 0 4 | 75.20 45 | 74.24 53 53 Washington A = 74.82 3 7 80.45( 1) 0 2 | 2 4 | 75.24 44 | 73.85 57 54 Michigan State A = 74.70 6 5 70.26( 47) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.43 61 | 76.64 42 55 Arizona State A = 73.87 4 6 73.43( 21) 0 1 | 0 5 | 72.74 59 | 74.46 51 56 Nevada A = 73.62 7 3 66.52( 85) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.77 62 | 75.05 46 57 East Carolina A = 72.80 6 4 69.36( 56) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.17 58 | 71.86 60 58 Wake Forest A = 72.57 4 7 75.36( 10) 0 1 | 1 4 | 70.18 69 | 74.64 50 59 William & Mary AA = 72.12 9 1 55.70( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.88 47 | 69.15 69 60 Richmond AA = 72.02 9 1 54.37( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.60 48 | 69.18 68 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 61 Temple A = 71.94 8 2 61.46( 118) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.01 46 | 68.73 72 62 Minnesota A = 71.70 6 5 72.43( 28) 0 0 | 0 4 | 73.43 55 | 69.55 67 63 Virginia A = 70.76 3 7 75.56( 9) 0 2 | 1 4 | 69.41 72 | 71.59 61 64 Kansas A = 70.54 5 5 67.83( 74) 0 0 | 0 2 | 67.45 81 | 73.44 58 65 Southern Miss A = 70.38 6 4 63.08( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.52 71 | 70.67 64 66 Texas A&M A = 70.32 5 5 69.45( 53) 0 0 | 0 3 | 68.80 77 | 71.35 62 67 Southern Illinois AA = 70.10 9 1 54.56( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.59 79 | 71.10 63 68 Central Florida A = 69.92 6 4 67.76( 75) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.62 63 | 67.78 78 69 Troy A = 69.28 7 3 65.08( 97) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.15 67 | 66.99 81 70 Kansas State A = 69.24 6 5 67.08( 82) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.92 80 | 70.02 66 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 71 Iowa State A = 69.16 6 5 67.97( 72) 0 0 | 1 2 | 69.20 73 | 68.55 73 72 Duke A = 69.16 5 5 68.35( 70) 0 2 | 0 3 | 70.72 68 | 67.13 80 73 Baylor A = 69.01 4 6 71.38( 38) 0 1 | 0 4 | 69.14 74 | 68.30 75 74 Northwestern A = 68.78 7 4 64.48( 103) 0 0 | 1 1 | 71.22 66 | 65.98 87 75 Idaho A = 68.54 7 4 67.76( 76) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.40 65 | 65.39 89 76 Marshall A = 68.46 5 5 68.87( 63) 0 1 | 0 1 | 68.60 78 | 67.75 79 77 Northern Illinois A = 68.40 7 3 57.63( 131) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.92 89 | 70.48 65 78 Purdue A = 68.31 4 7 72.30( 31) 0 1 | 1 2 | 67.13 83 | 68.95 71 79 Montana AA = 68.23 10 0 53.18( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.39 50 | 62.64 99 80 SMU A = 68.22 6 4 67.59( 78) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.44 64 | 64.79 92 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 81 NC State A = 67.76 4 6 67.41( 81) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.92 84 | 68.03 77 82 Michigan A = 67.62 5 6 66.17( 86) 0 0 | 0 3 | 65.79 91 | 68.96 70 83 Louisville A = 67.05 4 6 71.05( 42) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.89 70 | 63.88 96 84 Middle Tennessee A = 67.00 7 3 61.49( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.85 76 | 64.70 93 85 Bowling Green A = 66.89 5 5 67.69( 77) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.22 82 | 65.98 86 86 Ohio University A = 66.66 7 3 61.47( 117) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.46 85 | 66.28 82 87 Northern Iowa AA = 66.47 7 3 52.96( 162) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.25 118 | 73.36 59 88 Louisiana Tech A = 65.38 3 7 68.92( 62) 0 2 | 0 2 | 61.97 106 | 68.47 74 89 South Dakota State AA = 65.18 7 3 55.83( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.91 107 | 68.12 76 90 Louisiana-Monroe A = 65.14 6 4 62.30( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.80 90 | 63.92 95 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 91 Indiana A = 65.11 4 7 69.25( 59) 0 0 | 0 4 | 64.76 96 | 64.87 91 92 Appalachian State AA = 65.00 8 2 53.09( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.35 101 | 66.12 83 93 Colorado A = 64.86 3 7 71.04( 43) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.27 97 | 64.88 90 94 Colorado State A = 64.37 3 7 72.13( 32) 0 1 | 0 2 | 65.69 92 | 62.52 100 95 Syracuse A = 64.35 3 7 71.57( 36) 0 1 | 0 3 | 66.20 86 | 62.02 103 96 Illinois A = 64.28 3 7 70.69( 46) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.16 98 | 63.82 97 97 New Hampshire AA = 64.11 8 2 50.74( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.33 93 | 62.35 101 98 UNLV A = 64.09 4 7 69.90( 52) 0 1 | 0 3 | 65.97 88 | 61.70 106 99 UAB A = 63.94 5 5 65.80( 92) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.12 87 | 61.28 110 100 Tulsa A = 63.77 4 6 64.17( 104) 0 1 | 0 2 | 61.46 109 | 65.58 88 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 101 Eastern Washington AA = 63.68 7 3 57.54( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.30 94 | 61.55 107 102 Maryland A = 63.38 2 8 73.19( 23) 0 1 | 1 2 | 63.88 99 | 62.31 102 103 Elon AA = 63.28 8 2 49.01( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.03 119 | 66.12 84 104 Wyoming A = 63.23 5 5 68.77( 66) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.13 75 | 57.35 123 105 San Diego State A = 63.18 4 6 67.05( 83) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.87 95 | 60.97 111 106 Weber State AA = 62.39 6 4 57.01( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.84 100 | 60.39 112 107 Utah State A = 62.15 3 7 67.43( 80) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.65 120 | 64.14 94 108 Kent State A = 61.83 5 5 61.07( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.10 116 | 61.99 104 109 James Madison AA = 61.75 5 5 61.44( 119) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.17 102 | 59.78 115 110 Hawaii A = 61.59 4 6 65.71( 94) 0 1 | 0 1 | 62.64 105 | 59.97 114 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 111 Vanderbilt A = 61.08 2 9 72.32( 30) 0 3 | 0 4 | 58.27 127 | 63.37 98 112 Buffalo A = 60.67 3 7 64.78( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.98 124 | 61.81 105 113 Stephen F. Austin AA = 60.60 8 2 51.51( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.31 111 | 59.32 117 114 Liberty AA = 60.57 8 2 47.14( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.26 117 | 60.30 113 115 Western Michigan A = 60.50 5 6 63.00( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.11 115 | 59.31 118 116 Delaware AA = 60.41 6 4 58.51( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.26 112 | 58.99 119 117 Jacksonville State AA = 60.07 7 3 50.85( 171) 0 1 | 0 1 | 53.82 148 | 66.01 85 118 Montana State AA = 59.67 7 3 55.81( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.80 104 | 56.03 133 119 Washington State A = 59.57 1 9 77.63( 2) 0 1 | 0 5 | 63.07 103 | 55.55 135 120 Northern Arizona AA = 59.43 5 5 59.89( 123) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.23 113 | 57.08 125 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 121 McNeese State AA = 59.40 8 2 46.96( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.50 108 | 56.74 127 122 Pennsylvania AA = 59.19 7 2 48.15( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.18 128 | 59.63 116 123 Toledo A = 59.18 4 6 65.89( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.32 110 | 56.48 129 124 Massachusetts AA = 58.95 5 5 55.85( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.93 136 | 61.42 108 125 Florida Atlantic A = 58.88 3 6 64.78( 100) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.27 122 | 57.91 120 126 SC State AA = 58.80 9 1 43.00( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.29 121 | 57.73 121 127 UTEP A = 58.55 3 7 65.64( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.86 125 | 57.66 122 128 Arkansas State A = 57.17 2 7 62.48( 110) 0 0 | 0 2 | 52.41 155 | 61.29 109 129 UC Davis AA = 57.08 6 4 57.98( 130) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.11 114 | 52.40 151 130 San Jose State A = 56.83 1 8 74.51( 18) 0 1 | 0 4 | 58.14 129 | 54.93 140 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 Lafayette AA = 56.68 8 2 45.69( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.72 132 | 56.06 132 132 Memphis A = 56.57 2 8 66.15( 88) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.87 130 | 55.69 134 133 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 56.57 5 5 61.48( 116) 0 1 | 0 2 | 58.50 126 | 54.02 145 134 Eastern Illinois AA = 56.38 8 2 47.56( 186) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.67 138 | 56.52 128 135 Holy Cross AA = 56.18 9 1 42.83( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.68 133 | 55.10 138 136 Fla. International A = 55.83 3 7 64.74( 102) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.29 145 | 56.77 126 137 Southern Utah AA = 55.77 4 6 58.16( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.73 142 | 56.23 130 138 Akron A = 55.52 2 8 65.51( 96) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.27 141 | 55.20 137 139 Maine AA = 54.97 5 5 56.18( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.13 146 | 55.23 136 140 Army A = 54.78 4 6 60.56( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.89 137 | 53.08 147 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 141 Miami-Ohio A = 54.65 1 10 71.10( 40) 0 2 | 0 2 | 56.30 135 | 52.37 152 142 Furman AA = 54.23 5 5 56.11( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.80 149 | 54.08 144 143 Texas State AA = 54.04 6 4 53.86( 156) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.82 152 | 54.67 141 144 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 53.75 4 6 59.05( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.35 140 | 51.52 155 145 Tulane A = 53.71 3 7 66.16( 87) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.01 123 | 47.35 171 146 South Dakota AA = 53.69 5 5 54.38( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.93 147 | 52.86 148 147 North Dakota AA = 53.39 5 5 55.69( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.65 139 | 50.46 158 148 Missouri State AA = 52.93 6 5 53.38( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.49 154 | 52.80 149 149 Youngstown State AA = 52.91 5 5 55.51( 147) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.70 153 | 52.54 150 150 Harvard AA = 52.87 6 3 46.11( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.03 160 | 55.02 139 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 151 Illinois State AA = 52.77 5 5 53.67( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.86 151 | 52.10 154 152 Samford AA = 52.71 5 5 52.13( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.41 165 | 56.15 131 153 Rice A = 51.95 1 9 68.87( 64) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.30 144 | 48.87 166 154 SE Louisiana AA = 51.91 6 4 55.09( 149) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.53 150 | 49.63 162 155 New Mexico State A = 51.80 3 7 64.05( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.53 134 | 45.91 175 156 North Texas A = 51.76 2 8 62.71( 108) 0 1 | 0 1 | 49.39 161 | 53.47 146 157 Sacramento State AA = 51.54 4 6 57.12( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.77 131 | 45.00 180 158 Colgate AA = 51.36 9 2 40.72( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.48 156 | 50.67 156 159 Prairie View A&M AA = 51.35 7 1 39.29( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.40 143 | 47.46 170 160 Hofstra AA = 51.20 4 6 55.19( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.37 157 | 50.44 159 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 161 Central Arkansas AA = 51.14 5 5 48.98( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.43 184 | 57.16 124 162 Brown AA = 51.08 6 3 45.51( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.37 162 | 52.17 153 163 Chattanooga AA = 51.02 6 4 50.72( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.82 158 | 50.63 157 164 Ball State A = 50.66 1 9 62.59( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.99 174 | 54.33 143 165 North Dakota State AA = 50.26 3 7 54.37( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.82 182 | 54.49 142 166 Georgia Southern AA = 50.19 4 6 57.33( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.51 159 | 49.28 165 167 New Mexico A = 50.06 0 10 68.63( 68) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.12 163 | 50.40 160 168 Wofford AA = 48.37 3 7 57.20( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.73 172 | 49.37 164 169 Stony Brook AA = 48.29 5 5 47.84( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.20 167 | 47.81 167 170 Citadel AA = 48.20 4 6 52.12( 165) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.32 173 | 49.43 163 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 171 Central Connecticut AA = 48.02 8 2 42.54( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.80 168 | 47.66 168 172 Florida A&M AA = 47.39 7 3 43.48( 203) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.34 166 | 45.80 176 173 Albany-NY AA = 47.19 6 4 41.92( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.29 186 | 50.08 161 174 Norfolk State AA = 47.03 6 4 43.78( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.89 175 | 47.55 169 175 Northern Colorado AA = 46.82 3 8 54.90( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.85 164 | 44.00 183 176 Grambling AA = 46.22 6 4 43.09( 205) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.68 176 | 46.18 174 177 Northeastern AA = 44.99 2 8 60.26( 122) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.35 169 | 41.73 191 178 Eastern Kentucky AA = 44.52 5 5 46.60( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.30 185 | 45.12 179 179 Portland State AA = 44.40 2 9 59.13( 125) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.99 170 | 40.83 197 180 Eastern Michigan A = 44.35 0 10 66.06( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 41.23 194 | 46.56 173 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 181 Tennessee Tech AA = 44.35 5 5 51.83( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.61 178 | 42.39 187 182 Charleston Southern AA = 44.05 5 5 52.21( 163) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.21 181 | 42.21 188 183 Coastal Carolina AA = 43.97 5 5 48.45( 181) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.37 179 | 41.87 190 184 Gardner-Webb AA = 43.68 5 5 51.32( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.66 177 | 40.87 195 185 Western Kentucky A = 43.42 0 10 64.87( 99) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.36 209 | 46.99 172 186 Dayton AA = 43.19 8 2 29.81( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.28 190 | 43.49 185 187 Sam Houston State AA = 42.95 5 5 49.67( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.73 183 | 40.37 200 188 Yale AA = 42.79 4 5 43.30( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.70 207 | 45.66 177 189 Columbia AA = 42.71 3 6 46.15( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.76 206 | 45.48 178 190 Idaho State AA = 42.59 1 10 61.62( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.74 171 | 36.59 214 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 191 Alabama A&M AA = 41.93 6 4 40.64( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.41 189 | 40.85 196 192 Western Illinois AA = 41.78 1 9 56.07( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.23 199 | 42.67 186 193 Towson AA = 41.70 2 8 58.37( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.25 180 | 36.60 213 194 Rhode Island AA = 41.67 1 9 59.37( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.77 205 | 43.66 184 195 Drake AA = 41.48 8 2 33.40( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.97 195 | 41.40 193 196 Fordham AA = 41.12 4 6 42.58( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.36 217 | 44.98 181 197 Western Carolina AA = 41.06 2 8 51.73( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.67 193 | 39.84 202 198 Lehigh AA = 40.63 3 7 45.50( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.76 219 | 44.52 182 199 Southern University AA = 40.57 6 3 39.65( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.91 188 | 37.21 210 200 Monmouth-NJ AA = 40.22 5 5 40.37( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 211 | 41.89 189 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 201 Texas Southern AA = 40.20 4 5 50.12( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.19 187 | 35.89 215 202 Tennessee-Martin AA = 40.09 4 6 47.55( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.28 198 | 39.31 205 203 Dartmouth AA = 40.09 2 7 50.99( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.70 208 | 40.83 198 204 Hampton AA = 39.97 5 5 39.29( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.19 204 | 40.15 201 205 Delaware State AA = 39.76 3 6 48.22( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.32 197 | 38.57 206 206 Austin Peay AA = 39.56 4 6 46.45( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.22 200 | 38.26 207 207 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 39.24 5 3 38.41( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.21 191 | 34.91 217 208 Wagner AA = 39.05 6 4 38.93( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.52 202 | 37.97 208 209 Morgan State AA = 39.03 5 5 41.44( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.90 192 | 34.85 218 210 Old Dominion AA = 38.64 8 2 30.33( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.38 221 | 41.49 192 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 211 Jacksonville AA = 38.15 6 4 32.79( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.71 222 | 41.10 194 212 VMI AA = 38.11 2 8 50.30( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.87 215 | 39.54 204 213 Nicholls State AA = 37.73 2 8 53.46( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 212 | 37.19 211 214 Robert Morris AA = 37.43 4 6 37.64( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.34 227 | 40.72 199 215 Bethune-Cookman AA = 37.25 5 5 37.54( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.50 203 | 33.91 221 216 Indiana State AA = 37.21 1 10 57.58( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.75 201 | 33.45 223 217 Bryant AA = 37.08 4 6 40.83( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.22 223 | 39.63 203 218 Butler AA = 36.61 9 1 28.86( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.55 196 | 30.30 235 219 Princeton AA = 35.99 3 6 46.81( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.15 210 | 32.74 226 220 Cornell AA = 35.53 2 7 42.93( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.17 228 | 37.72 209 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 221 NC A&T AA = 35.48 4 5 38.11( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.01 214 | 34.33 220 222 Murray State AA = 34.97 3 7 48.15( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.43 213 | 32.68 228 223 SE Missouri State AA = 34.97 2 8 49.58( 178) 0 1 | 0 1 | 32.36 226 | 36.63 212 224 Marist AA = 34.37 7 3 28.43( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.62 225 | 35.38 216 225 Tennessee State AA = 34.04 3 7 40.21( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.90 218 | 32.50 231 226 Jackson State AA = 33.79 3 6 40.38( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.40 220 | 32.54 229 227 Alcorn State AA = 33.69 2 6 47.36( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.46 216 | 30.96 234 228 Northwestern State AA = 33.49 0 10 54.81( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.64 224 | 33.73 222 229 Duquesne AA = 32.10 3 7 39.06( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.81 229 | 32.72 227 230 Bucknell AA = 31.46 3 7 41.93( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.61 230 | 32.54 230 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 231 Sacred Heart AA = 30.80 2 8 40.11( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.53 237 | 33.40 224 232 San Diego AA = 30.75 4 6 34.14( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.37 236 | 32.86 225 233 NC Central AA = 30.71 3 7 46.78( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.50 241 | 34.58 219 234 Presbyterian College AA = 30.36 0 10 49.65( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.07 235 | 31.74 232 235 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 29.43 2 8 42.04( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.92 238 | 31.58 233 236 Davidson AA = 29.07 3 7 37.11( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.00 232 | 28.56 237 237 Alabama State AA = 27.34 4 6 36.01( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.03 231 | 24.61 240 238 Howard AA = 27.30 2 8 44.11( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.88 233 | 24.73 239 239 Winston-Salem State AA = 27.28 1 9 40.97( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.77 239 | 28.78 236 240 Miss. Valley State AA = 24.93 3 7 41.51( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.59 234 | 17.61 244 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 241 Georgetown AA = 24.75 0 10 45.14( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.69 242 | 27.10 238 242 Campbell AA = 23.29 3 7 33.00( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.06 240 | 21.83 241 243 Savannah State AA = 20.19 2 7 40.72( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.73 244 | 20.90 242 244 Morehead State AA = 19.84 2 8 33.18( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.82 243 | 19.28 243 245 Valparaiso AA = 14.66 1 9 35.84( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.61 245 | 14.12 245 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 13 60 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are two group ratings, the "central mean" and the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean")
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is in a sense the continuous version of the discrete "tri-mean".
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
1 PAC-10 (A) = 79.75 78.73 ( 2) 10
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.99 79.39 ( 1) 12
3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.23 76.90 ( 3) 12
4 BIG EAST (A) = 76.98 76.76 ( 4) 8
5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.03 74.75 ( 5) 12
6 BIG TEN (A) = 72.94 73.38 ( 6) 11
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.77 69.97 ( 7) 3
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 69.28 69.95 ( 8) 9
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 66.32 66.91 ( 9) 9
10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.00 64.54 ( 10) 12
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.48 61.33 ( 11) 13
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 58.52 58.38 ( 12) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.43 58.34 ( 13) 9
14 BIG SKY (AA)= 55.87 55.42 ( 14) 9
15 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.52 54.74 ( 15) 5
16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 54.30 54.40 ( 16) 9
17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 52.14 52.67 ( 17) 9
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.58 48.91 ( 18) 8
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.40 45.03 ( 19) 8
20 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.93 44.15 ( 20) 7
21 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 43.57 43.17 ( 22) 7
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.05 43.22 ( 21) 9
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.53 39.93 ( 23) 10
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 38.17 37.93 ( 25) 10
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.81 38.03 ( 24) 8
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 32.40 31.65 ( 26) 4
27 PIONEER (AA)= 31.77 31.14 ( 27) 10
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS
3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.23 76.90 ( 3) 12
4 BIG EAST (A) = 76.98 76.76 ( 4) 8
6 BIG TEN (A) = 72.94 73.38 ( 6) 11
5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.03 74.75 ( 5) 12
10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.00 64.54 ( 10) 12
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.48 61.33 ( 11) 13
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 69.28 69.95 ( 8) 9
1 PAC-10 (A) = 79.75 78.73 ( 2) 10
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.99 79.39 ( 1) 12
13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.43 58.34 ( 13) 9
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 66.32 66.91 ( 9) 9
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.77 69.97 ( 7) 3
14 BIG SKY (AA)= 55.87 55.42 ( 14) 9
20 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.93 44.15 ( 20) 7
12 COLONIAL (AA)= 58.52 58.38 ( 12) 12
15 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.52 54.74 ( 15) 5
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.40 45.03 ( 19) 8
23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.53 39.93 ( 23) 10
16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 54.30 54.40 ( 16) 9
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.81 38.03 ( 24) 8
22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.05 43.22 ( 21) 9
21 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 43.57 43.17 ( 22) 7
27 PIONEER (AA)= 31.77 31.14 ( 27) 10
17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 52.14 52.67 ( 17) 9
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.58 48.91 ( 18) 8
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 38.17 37.93 ( 25) 10
26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 32.40 31.65 ( 26) 4
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 77.23 76.90 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 7 Georgia Tech A = 87.87 10 1 74.82( 12) 1 0 | 3 1 | 88.07 6 | 87.10 9 9 Virginia Tech A = 86.44 7 3 77.40( 3) 0 2 | 3 3 | 83.27 13 | 90.15 5 13 Clemson A = 84.21 7 3 72.93( 25) 0 2 | 2 2 | 81.72 20 | 86.67 10 16 Miami-Florida A = 83.05 7 3 75.69( 8) 1 1 | 2 3 | 82.40 16 | 83.12 18 25 Boston College A = 79.99 7 3 71.49( 37) 0 1 | 0 2 | 78.79 29 | 80.67 27 28 North Carolina A = 79.19 7 3 71.04( 44) 1 1 | 2 1 | 80.22 25 | 77.68 33 32 Florida State A = 78.43 5 5 77.11( 4) 0 1 | 1 4 | 77.99 34 | 78.29 32 58 Wake Forest A = 72.57 4 7 75.36( 10) 0 1 | 1 4 | 70.18 69 | 74.64 50 63 Virginia A = 70.76 3 7 75.56( 9) 0 2 | 1 4 | 69.41 72 | 71.59 61 72 Duke A = 69.16 5 5 68.35( 70) 0 2 | 0 3 | 70.72 68 | 67.13 80 81 NC State A = 67.76 4 6 67.41( 81) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.92 84 | 68.03 77 102 Maryland A = 63.38 2 8 73.19( 23) 0 1 | 1 2 | 63.88 99 | 62.31 102 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 BIG EAST (A) = 76.98 76.76 ( 4) TEAMS= 8 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 5 Cincinnati A = 89.17 10 0 68.83( 65) 0 0 | 1 0 | 93.74 2 | 85.62 13 14 Pittsburgh A = 84.13 9 1 69.31( 57) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.20 11 | 83.50 16 34 Rutgers A = 78.06 7 2 62.10( 113) 0 1 | 0 2 | 81.38 21 | 74.83 49 35 West Virginia A = 78.00 7 3 71.23( 39) 0 1 | 0 1 | 78.76 30 | 76.73 40 38 South Florida A = 77.58 6 3 67.89( 73) 0 1 | 0 2 | 81.34 22 | 74.06 56 47 Connecticut A = 75.71 4 5 72.89( 26) 0 1 | 0 3 | 74.23 53 | 76.71 41 83 Louisville A = 67.05 4 6 71.05( 42) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.89 70 | 63.88 96 95 Syracuse A = 64.35 3 7 71.57( 36) 0 1 | 0 3 | 66.20 86 | 62.02 103 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 BIG TEN (A) = 72.94 73.38 ( 6) TEAMS= 11 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Ohio State A = 84.60 9 2 70.15( 49) 0 0 | 3 1 | 82.08 18 | 87.10 8 18 Iowa A = 82.19 9 2 72.04( 33) 0 0 | 3 1 | 83.10 14 | 80.78 26 21 Penn State A = 81.01 9 2 67.02( 84) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.66 31 | 83.19 17 30 Wisconsin A = 78.89 8 2 69.39( 54) 0 0 | 0 2 | 79.58 27 | 77.68 34 54 Michigan State A = 74.70 6 5 70.26( 47) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.43 61 | 76.64 42 62 Minnesota A = 71.70 6 5 72.43( 28) 0 0 | 0 4 | 73.43 55 | 69.55 67 74 Northwestern A = 68.78 7 4 64.48( 103) 0 0 | 1 1 | 71.22 66 | 65.98 87 78 Purdue A = 68.31 4 7 72.30( 31) 0 1 | 1 2 | 67.13 83 | 68.95 71 82 Michigan A = 67.62 5 6 66.17( 86) 0 0 | 0 3 | 65.79 91 | 68.96 70 91 Indiana A = 65.11 4 7 69.25( 59) 0 0 | 0 4 | 64.76 96 | 64.87 91 96 Illinois A = 64.28 3 7 70.69( 46) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.16 98 | 63.82 97 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.03 74.75 ( 5) TEAMS= 12 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 4 Texas A = 91.01 10 0 70.11( 50) 0 0 | 2 0 | 88.34 5 | 93.98 1 20 Oklahoma State A = 81.33 8 2 69.21( 60) 0 1 | 0 1 | 80.43 24 | 81.69 21 23 Oklahoma A = 80.08 6 4 71.01( 45) 0 1 | 0 3 | 74.35 52 | 89.27 7 26 Nebraska A = 79.43 7 3 69.38( 55) 0 1 | 1 1 | 74.54 49 | 86.12 12 42 Texas Tech A = 76.71 6 4 68.73( 67) 0 1 | 1 2 | 72.59 60 | 81.50 23 50 Missouri A = 75.33 6 4 71.08( 41) 0 1 | 0 3 | 73.25 56 | 77.04 37 64 Kansas A = 70.54 5 5 67.83( 74) 0 0 | 0 2 | 67.45 81 | 73.44 58 66 Texas A&M A = 70.32 5 5 69.45( 53) 0 0 | 0 3 | 68.80 77 | 71.35 62 70 Kansas State A = 69.24 6 5 67.08( 82) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.92 80 | 70.02 66 71 Iowa State A = 69.16 6 5 67.97( 72) 0 0 | 1 2 | 69.20 73 | 68.55 73 73 Baylor A = 69.01 4 6 71.38( 38) 0 1 | 0 4 | 69.14 74 | 68.30 75 93 Colorado A = 64.86 3 7 71.04( 43) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.27 97 | 64.88 90 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 65.00 64.54 ( 10) TEAMS= 12 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 44 Houston A = 76.17 8 2 65.72( 93) 0 0 | 1 0 | 77.84 36 | 74.12 54 57 East Carolina A = 72.80 6 4 69.36( 56) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.17 58 | 71.86 60 65 Southern Miss A = 70.38 6 4 63.08( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.52 71 | 70.67 64 68 Central Florida A = 69.92 6 4 67.76( 75) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.62 63 | 67.78 78 76 Marshall A = 68.46 5 5 68.87( 63) 0 1 | 0 1 | 68.60 78 | 67.75 79 80 SMU A = 68.22 6 4 67.59( 78) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.44 64 | 64.79 92 99 UAB A = 63.94 5 5 65.80( 92) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.12 87 | 61.28 110 100 Tulsa A = 63.77 4 6 64.17( 104) 0 1 | 0 2 | 61.46 109 | 65.58 88 127 UTEP A = 58.55 3 7 65.64( 95) 0 1 | 0 1 | 58.86 125 | 57.66 122 132 Memphis A = 56.57 2 8 66.15( 88) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.87 130 | 55.69 134 145 Tulane A = 53.71 3 7 66.16( 87) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.01 123 | 47.35 171 153 Rice A = 51.95 1 9 68.87( 64) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.30 144 | 48.87 166 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 61.48 61.33 ( 11) TEAMS= 13 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 45 Central Michigan A = 76.07 8 2 62.37( 111) 0 0 | 0 2 | 77.36 38 | 74.33 52 61 Temple A = 71.94 8 2 61.46( 118) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.01 46 | 68.73 72 77 Northern Illinois A = 68.40 7 3 57.63( 131) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.92 89 | 70.48 65 85 Bowling Green A = 66.89 5 5 67.69( 77) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.22 82 | 65.98 86 86 Ohio University A = 66.66 7 3 61.47( 117) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.46 85 | 66.28 82 108 Kent State A = 61.83 5 5 61.07( 120) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.10 116 | 61.99 104 112 Buffalo A = 60.67 3 7 64.78( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 58.98 124 | 61.81 105 115 Western Michigan A = 60.50 5 6 63.00( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.11 115 | 59.31 118 123 Toledo A = 59.18 4 6 65.89( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.32 110 | 56.48 129 138 Akron A = 55.52 2 8 65.51( 96) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.27 141 | 55.20 137 141 Miami-Ohio A = 54.65 1 10 71.10( 40) 0 2 | 0 2 | 56.30 135 | 52.37 152 164 Ball State A = 50.66 1 9 62.59( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.99 174 | 54.33 143 180 Eastern Michigan A = 44.35 0 10 66.06( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 41.23 194 | 46.56 173 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 69.28 69.95 ( 8) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 3 TCU A = 91.44 10 0 70.21( 48) 0 0 | 2 0 | 90.94 4 | 91.37 4 29 Utah A = 78.90 8 2 68.31( 71) 0 2 | 0 2 | 80.97 23 | 76.56 43 31 BYU A = 78.83 8 2 67.53( 79) 0 1 | 1 1 | 78.61 32 | 78.46 30 49 Air Force A = 75.47 7 4 64.87( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 73.24 57 | 77.39 36 94 Colorado State A = 64.37 3 7 72.13( 32) 0 1 | 0 2 | 65.69 92 | 62.52 100 98 UNLV A = 64.09 4 7 69.90( 52) 0 1 | 0 3 | 65.97 88 | 61.70 106 104 Wyoming A = 63.23 5 5 68.77( 66) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.13 75 | 57.35 123 105 San Diego State A = 63.18 4 6 67.05( 83) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.87 95 | 60.97 111 167 New Mexico A = 50.06 0 10 68.63( 68) 0 0 | 0 1 | 49.12 163 | 50.40 160 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 PAC-10 (A) = 79.75 78.73 ( 2) TEAMS= 10 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 6 Oregon A = 88.41 8 2 76.23( 6) 0 1 | 3 2 | 86.88 9 | 89.56 6 12 Southern California A = 84.29 7 3 76.94( 5) 0 1 | 3 2 | 84.29 10 | 83.71 15 15 Stanford A = 84.00 7 3 75.24( 11) 1 0 | 2 2 | 82.48 15 | 85.10 14 17 Oregon State A = 82.88 7 3 74.80( 14) 0 1 | 2 3 | 83.97 12 | 81.34 25 19 Arizona A = 82.05 6 3 74.82( 13) 0 0 | 2 2 | 82.15 17 | 81.37 24 22 California A = 80.31 7 3 74.08( 19) 0 1 | 1 3 | 81.90 19 | 78.35 31 41 UCLA A = 77.13 5 5 76.16( 7) 0 1 | 0 5 | 76.73 40 | 76.96 38 53 Washington A = 74.82 3 7 80.45( 1) 0 2 | 2 4 | 75.24 44 | 73.85 57 55 Arizona State A = 73.87 4 6 73.43( 21) 0 1 | 0 5 | 72.74 59 | 74.46 51 119 Washington State A = 59.57 1 9 77.63( 2) 0 1 | 0 5 | 63.07 103 | 55.55 135 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 78.99 79.39 ( 1) TEAMS= 12 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Alabama A = 93.69 10 0 73.30( 22) 2 0 | 4 0 | 93.13 3 | 93.69 2 2 Florida A = 93.53 10 0 71.86( 34) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.04 1 | 92.50 3 10 LSU A = 85.40 8 2 72.39( 29) 0 2 | 0 2 | 87.65 7 | 83.03 19 24 Arkansas A = 80.04 6 4 72.78( 27) 0 2 | 0 3 | 77.95 35 | 81.84 20 27 Mississippi A = 79.28 7 3 69.13( 61) 0 1 | 1 1 | 76.77 39 | 81.63 22 33 Georgia A = 78.42 6 4 74.73( 15) 0 2 | 1 3 | 79.60 26 | 76.77 39 37 Auburn A = 77.86 7 4 71.81( 35) 0 1 | 1 2 | 77.72 37 | 77.42 35 39 Tennessee A = 77.18 5 5 73.01( 24) 0 2 | 0 3 | 74.12 54 | 80.28 28 46 South Carolina A = 75.76 6 5 74.64( 16) 0 2 | 1 3 | 75.99 41 | 74.96 47 48 Kentucky A = 75.47 6 4 69.91( 51) 0 2 | 0 2 | 75.42 43 | 74.95 48 52 Mississippi State A = 75.00 4 6 74.58( 17) 0 4 | 0 4 | 75.20 45 | 74.24 53 111 Vanderbilt A = 61.08 2 9 72.32( 30) 0 3 | 0 4 | 58.27 127 | 63.37 98 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 13 SUN BELT (A) = 58.43 58.34 ( 13) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 69 Troy A = 69.28 7 3 65.08( 97) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.15 67 | 66.99 81 84 Middle Tennessee A = 67.00 7 3 61.49( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 68.85 76 | 64.70 93 90 Louisiana-Monroe A = 65.14 6 4 62.30( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.80 90 | 63.92 95 125 Florida Atlantic A = 58.88 3 6 64.78( 100) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.27 122 | 57.91 120 128 Arkansas State A = 57.17 2 7 62.48( 110) 0 0 | 0 2 | 52.41 155 | 61.29 109 133 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 56.57 5 5 61.48( 116) 0 1 | 0 2 | 58.50 126 | 54.02 145 136 Fla. International A = 55.83 3 7 64.74( 102) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.29 145 | 56.77 126 156 North Texas A = 51.76 2 8 62.71( 108) 0 1 | 0 1 | 49.39 161 | 53.47 146 185 Western Kentucky A = 43.42 0 10 64.87( 99) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.36 209 | 46.99 172 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 66.32 66.91 ( 9) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 8 Boise State A = 87.20 10 0 65.82( 91) 1 0 | 1 0 | 87.41 8 | 86.43 11 51 Fresno State A = 75.10 6 4 69.30( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 74.35 51 | 75.28 45 56 Nevada A = 73.62 7 3 66.52( 85) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.77 62 | 75.05 46 75 Idaho A = 68.54 7 4 67.76( 76) 0 1 | 0 1 | 71.40 65 | 65.39 89 88 Louisiana Tech A = 65.38 3 7 68.92( 62) 0 2 | 0 2 | 61.97 106 | 68.47 74 107 Utah State A = 62.15 3 7 67.43( 80) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.65 120 | 64.14 94 110 Hawaii A = 61.59 4 6 65.71( 94) 0 1 | 0 1 | 62.64 105 | 59.97 114 130 San Jose State A = 56.83 1 8 74.51( 18) 0 1 | 0 4 | 58.14 129 | 54.93 140 155 New Mexico State A = 51.80 3 7 64.05( 105) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.53 134 | 45.91 175 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.77 69.97 ( 7) TEAMS= 3 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 36 Notre Dame A = 77.96 6 4 73.51( 20) 0 0 | 1 2 | 75.83 42 | 79.78 29 40 Navy A = 77.17 8 3 68.45( 69) 0 0 | 0 2 | 78.01 33 | 75.83 44 140 Army A = 54.78 4 6 60.56( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.89 137 | 53.08 147 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 14 BIG SKY (AA)= 55.87 55.42 ( 14) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 79 Montana AA = 68.23 10 0 53.18( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.39 50 | 62.64 99 101 Eastern Washington AA = 63.68 7 3 57.54( 134) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.30 94 | 61.55 107 106 Weber State AA = 62.39 6 4 57.01( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.84 100 | 60.39 112 118 Montana State AA = 59.67 7 3 55.81( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.80 104 | 56.03 133 120 Northern Arizona AA = 59.43 5 5 59.89( 123) 0 0 | 0 2 | 61.23 113 | 57.08 125 157 Sacramento State AA = 51.54 4 6 57.12( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.77 131 | 45.00 180 175 Northern Colorado AA = 46.82 3 8 54.90( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.85 164 | 44.00 183 179 Portland State AA = 44.40 2 9 59.13( 125) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.99 170 | 40.83 197 190 Idaho State AA = 42.59 1 10 61.62( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.74 171 | 36.59 214 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 20 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 43.93 44.15 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 114 Liberty AA = 60.57 8 2 47.14( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.26 117 | 60.30 113 169 Stony Brook AA = 48.29 5 5 47.84( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.20 167 | 47.81 167 182 Charleston Southern AA = 44.05 5 5 52.21( 163) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.21 181 | 42.21 188 183 Coastal Carolina AA = 43.97 5 5 48.45( 181) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.37 179 | 41.87 190 184 Gardner-Webb AA = 43.68 5 5 51.32( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.66 177 | 40.87 195 212 VMI AA = 38.11 2 8 50.30( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.87 215 | 39.54 204 234 Presbyterian College AA = 30.36 0 10 49.65( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.07 235 | 31.74 232 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 COLONIAL (AA)= 58.52 58.38 ( 12) TEAMS= 12 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 43 Villanova AA = 76.60 9 1 57.63( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 78.90 28 | 74.07 55 59 William & Mary AA = 72.12 9 1 55.70( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.88 47 | 69.15 69 60 Richmond AA = 72.02 9 1 54.37( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 74.60 48 | 69.18 68 97 New Hampshire AA = 64.11 8 2 50.74( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.33 93 | 62.35 101 109 James Madison AA = 61.75 5 5 61.44( 119) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.17 102 | 59.78 115 116 Delaware AA = 60.41 6 4 58.51( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.26 112 | 58.99 119 124 Massachusetts AA = 58.95 5 5 55.85( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.93 136 | 61.42 108 139 Maine AA = 54.97 5 5 56.18( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.13 146 | 55.23 136 160 Hofstra AA = 51.20 4 6 55.19( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.37 157 | 50.44 159 177 Northeastern AA = 44.99 2 8 60.26( 122) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.35 169 | 41.73 191 193 Towson AA = 41.70 2 8 58.37( 128) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.25 180 | 36.60 213 194 Rhode Island AA = 41.67 1 9 59.37( 124) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.77 205 | 43.66 184 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 15 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.52 54.74 ( 15) TEAMS= 5 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 129 UC Davis AA = 57.08 6 4 57.98( 130) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.11 114 | 52.40 151 137 Southern Utah AA = 55.77 4 6 58.16( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.73 142 | 56.23 130 144 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 53.75 4 6 59.05( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.35 140 | 51.52 155 146 South Dakota AA = 53.69 5 5 54.38( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.93 147 | 52.86 148 147 North Dakota AA = 53.39 5 5 55.69( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.65 139 | 50.46 158 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.40 45.03 ( 19) TEAMS= 8 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 122 Pennsylvania AA = 59.19 7 2 48.15( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.18 128 | 59.63 116 150 Harvard AA = 52.87 6 3 46.11( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.03 160 | 55.02 139 162 Brown AA = 51.08 6 3 45.51( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.37 162 | 52.17 153 188 Yale AA = 42.79 4 5 43.30( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.70 207 | 45.66 177 189 Columbia AA = 42.71 3 6 46.15( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.76 206 | 45.48 178 203 Dartmouth AA = 40.09 2 7 50.99( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.70 208 | 40.83 198 219 Princeton AA = 35.99 3 6 46.81( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.15 210 | 32.74 226 220 Cornell AA = 35.53 2 7 42.93( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.17 228 | 37.72 209 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 23 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 39.53 39.93 ( 23) TEAMS= 10 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 126 SC State AA = 58.80 9 1 43.00( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.29 121 | 57.73 121 172 Florida A&M AA = 47.39 7 3 43.48( 203) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.34 166 | 45.80 176 174 Norfolk State AA = 47.03 6 4 43.78( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.89 175 | 47.55 169 204 Hampton AA = 39.97 5 5 39.29( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.19 204 | 40.15 201 205 Delaware State AA = 39.76 3 6 48.22( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.32 197 | 38.57 206 209 Morgan State AA = 39.03 5 5 41.44( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.90 192 | 34.85 218 215 Bethune-Cookman AA = 37.25 5 5 37.54( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.50 203 | 33.91 221 221 NC A&T AA = 35.48 4 5 38.11( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.01 214 | 34.33 220 238 Howard AA = 27.30 2 8 44.11( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.88 233 | 24.73 239 239 Winston-Salem State AA = 27.28 1 9 40.97( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.77 239 | 28.78 236 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 16 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 54.30 54.40 ( 16) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 67 Southern Illinois AA = 70.10 9 1 54.56( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.59 79 | 71.10 63 87 Northern Iowa AA = 66.47 7 3 52.96( 162) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.25 118 | 73.36 59 89 South Dakota State AA = 65.18 7 3 55.83( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.91 107 | 68.12 76 148 Missouri State AA = 52.93 6 5 53.38( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.49 154 | 52.80 149 149 Youngstown State AA = 52.91 5 5 55.51( 147) 0 0 | 0 1 | 52.70 153 | 52.54 150 151 Illinois State AA = 52.77 5 5 53.67( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.86 151 | 52.10 154 165 North Dakota State AA = 50.26 3 7 54.37( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.82 182 | 54.49 142 192 Western Illinois AA = 41.78 1 9 56.07( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.23 199 | 42.67 186 216 Indiana State AA = 37.21 1 10 57.58( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.75 201 | 33.45 223 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.81 38.03 ( 24) TEAMS= 8 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 171 Central Connecticut AA = 48.02 8 2 42.54( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.80 168 | 47.66 168 173 Albany-NY AA = 47.19 6 4 41.92( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.29 186 | 50.08 161 200 Monmouth-NJ AA = 40.22 5 5 40.37( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 211 | 41.89 189 208 Wagner AA = 39.05 6 4 38.93( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.52 202 | 37.97 208 214 Robert Morris AA = 37.43 4 6 37.64( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.34 227 | 40.72 199 229 Duquesne AA = 32.10 3 7 39.06( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.81 229 | 32.72 227 231 Sacred Heart AA = 30.80 2 8 40.11( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.53 237 | 33.40 224 235 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 29.43 2 8 42.04( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.92 238 | 31.58 233 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 22 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.05 43.22 ( 21) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 117 Jacksonville State AA = 60.07 7 3 50.85( 171) 0 1 | 0 1 | 53.82 148 | 66.01 85 134 Eastern Illinois AA = 56.38 8 2 47.56( 186) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.67 138 | 56.52 128 178 Eastern Kentucky AA = 44.52 5 5 46.60( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.30 185 | 45.12 179 181 Tennessee Tech AA = 44.35 5 5 51.83( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.61 178 | 42.39 187 202 Tennessee-Martin AA = 40.09 4 6 47.55( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.28 198 | 39.31 205 206 Austin Peay AA = 39.56 4 6 46.45( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.22 200 | 38.26 207 222 Murray State AA = 34.97 3 7 48.15( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.43 213 | 32.68 228 223 SE Missouri State AA = 34.97 2 8 49.58( 178) 0 1 | 0 1 | 32.36 226 | 36.63 212 225 Tennessee State AA = 34.04 3 7 40.21( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.90 218 | 32.50 231 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 21 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 43.57 43.17 ( 22) TEAMS= 7 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 131 Lafayette AA = 56.68 8 2 45.69( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.72 132 | 56.06 132 135 Holy Cross AA = 56.18 9 1 42.83( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.68 133 | 55.10 138 158 Colgate AA = 51.36 9 2 40.72( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.48 156 | 50.67 156 196 Fordham AA = 41.12 4 6 42.58( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.36 217 | 44.98 181 198 Lehigh AA = 40.63 3 7 45.50( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.76 219 | 44.52 182 230 Bucknell AA = 31.46 3 7 41.93( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.61 230 | 32.54 230 241 Georgetown AA = 24.75 0 10 45.14( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 20.69 242 | 27.10 238 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 27 PIONEER (AA)= 31.77 31.14 ( 27) TEAMS= 10 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 186 Dayton AA = 43.19 8 2 29.81( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.28 190 | 43.49 185 195 Drake AA = 41.48 8 2 33.40( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.97 195 | 41.40 193 211 Jacksonville AA = 38.15 6 4 32.79( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.71 222 | 41.10 194 218 Butler AA = 36.61 9 1 28.86( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.55 196 | 30.30 235 224 Marist AA = 34.37 7 3 28.43( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.62 225 | 35.38 216 232 San Diego AA = 30.75 4 6 34.14( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.37 236 | 32.86 225 236 Davidson AA = 29.07 3 7 37.11( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.00 232 | 28.56 237 242 Campbell AA = 23.29 3 7 33.00( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.06 240 | 21.83 241 244 Morehead State AA = 19.84 2 8 33.18( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.82 243 | 19.28 243 245 Valparaiso AA = 14.66 1 9 35.84( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 14.61 245 | 14.12 245 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 52.14 52.67 ( 17) TEAMS= 9 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 92 Appalachian State AA = 65.00 8 2 53.09( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.35 101 | 66.12 83 103 Elon AA = 63.28 8 2 49.01( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.03 119 | 66.12 84 142 Furman AA = 54.23 5 5 56.11( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.80 149 | 54.08 144 152 Samford AA = 52.71 5 5 52.13( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.41 165 | 56.15 131 163 Chattanooga AA = 51.02 6 4 50.72( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.82 158 | 50.63 157 166 Georgia Southern AA = 50.19 4 6 57.33( 135) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.51 159 | 49.28 165 168 Wofford AA = 48.37 3 7 57.20( 136) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.73 172 | 49.37 164 170 Citadel AA = 48.20 4 6 52.12( 165) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.32 173 | 49.43 163 197 Western Carolina AA = 41.06 2 8 51.73( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.67 193 | 39.84 202 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 49.58 48.91 ( 18) TEAMS= 8 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 113 Stephen F. Austin AA = 60.60 8 2 51.51( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.31 111 | 59.32 117 121 McNeese State AA = 59.40 8 2 46.96( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.50 108 | 56.74 127 143 Texas State AA = 54.04 6 4 53.86( 156) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.82 152 | 54.67 141 154 SE Louisiana AA = 51.91 6 4 55.09( 149) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.53 150 | 49.63 162 161 Central Arkansas AA = 51.14 5 5 48.98( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.43 184 | 57.16 124 187 Sam Houston State AA = 42.95 5 5 49.67( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.73 183 | 40.37 200 213 Nicholls State AA = 37.73 2 8 53.46( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.70 212 | 37.19 211 228 Northwestern State AA = 33.49 0 10 54.81( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.64 224 | 33.73 222 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 38.17 37.93 ( 25) TEAMS= 10 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 159 Prairie View A&M AA = 51.35 7 1 39.29( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.40 143 | 47.46 170 176 Grambling AA = 46.22 6 4 43.09( 205) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.68 176 | 46.18 174 191 Alabama A&M AA = 41.93 6 4 40.64( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.41 189 | 40.85 196 199 Southern University AA = 40.57 6 3 39.65( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.91 188 | 37.21 210 201 Texas Southern AA = 40.20 4 5 50.12( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.19 187 | 35.89 215 207 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 39.24 5 3 38.41( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.21 191 | 34.91 217 226 Jackson State AA = 33.79 3 6 40.38( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.40 220 | 32.54 229 227 Alcorn State AA = 33.69 2 6 47.36( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.46 216 | 30.96 234 237 Alabama State AA = 27.34 4 6 36.01( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.03 231 | 24.61 240 240 Miss. Valley State AA = 24.93 3 7 41.51( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.59 234 | 17.61 244 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 26 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 32.40 31.65 ( 26) TEAMS= 4 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 210 Old Dominion AA = 38.64 8 2 30.33( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.38 221 | 41.49 192 217 Bryant AA = 37.08 4 6 40.83( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.22 223 | 39.63 203 233 NC Central AA = 30.71 3 7 46.78( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.50 241 | 34.58 219 243 Savannah State AA = 20.19 2 7 40.72( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 18.73 244 | 20.90 242 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) TEAMS= 1 College Football 2009 through games of November 15 Sunday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.06 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 246 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 13 60 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 246 | -90.00 246 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________endfile